FNUS73 KLMK 011232
FWSLMK

SPOT FORECAST FOR FLOATING MILL   ONYX MEADOW...NPS - MAMMOTH CAVE NP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
832 AM EDT THU APR 1 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CONDITIONS WILL BE MARGINAL FOR RED FLAG CONDITIONS
THIS AFTERNOON. 10-HOUR FUELS WERE CLOSE TO THE 8-PERCENT THRESHOLD
YESTERDAY. RH VALUES WILL GET CLOSER TO 25 PERCENT TODAY AS WARM
SOUTHERLY WINDS BRING TEMPERATURES INTO THE LOW 80S. 20-FOOT WINDS
ALSO WILL BE CLOSE...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS FROM THE SOUTH NEAR 15 MPH.
CANNOT RULE OUT THE ISSUANCE OF A RED FLAG WARNING LATER TODAY
SHOULD THE COMBINATION OF ALL THREE FACTORS STRAY JUST A LITTLE FROM
THE CURRENT FORECAST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74 AT IGNITION...MAX 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2500-3900 FT AGL...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12
                    TO 20 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........10     10     10     10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............74     80     82     80
RH..............35     28     25     27
20 FT WIND......S 11   S 12   S 11   S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.20     25     20     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........2      2      2      2      2      2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............76     70     65     62     57     53
RH..............31     38     45     50     62     74
20 FT WIND......S 7    S 6    S 6    S 6    S 6    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-4000 FT
                    AGL...THEN DECREASING TO 1800 FT AGL IN THE
                    EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........3      3      3      8      8      8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............55     64     72     78     81     81
RH..............72     54     42     35     31     32
20 FT WIND......SE 5   S 7    S 9    S 10   S 9    S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     15     15

$$
FORECASTER...SHARP
REQUESTED BY...JOHN ASHCRAFT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100401.FLOAT.02/LMK