FNUS74 KLZK 011334 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR AFC GX20...MISC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 834 AM CDT THU APR 1 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... BREEZY SOUTH WINDS...COMBINED WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS WILL CREATE AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST RH VALUES OF 30 TO 35 PERCENT...COMBINED WITH BREEZY SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 25 MPH WILL CREATE CONDITIONS WHERE THE SPREAD OF WILD FIRES WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH CONTROLLED BURNS HAVING THE POTENTIAL TO GET OUT OF HAND. WHILE A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOT IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME...THE LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND FORECAST DATA WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED TODAY. IF RH VALUES DROP LOWER...OR TEMPERATURES WARM MORE THAN EXPECTED...A RED FLAG WARNING MAY BE NEEDED. A QUICK MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ALONG A COLD FRONT THAT WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS ARKANSAS. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG...POSSIBLY SEVERE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 81. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 21 TO 29 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3700 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....NONE. WEATHER TYPE....NONE. TEMP............66 69 72 75 78 80 81 81 RH..............58 51 45 40 37 35 33 33 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND GST.13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.21 22 24 26 26 28 28 29 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....58. MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 24 TO 30 MPH. STABILITY CLASS.....5. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....NONE. WEATHER TYPE....NONE. TEMP............80 75 69 64 61 59 RH..............34 41 50 59 67 71 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.5 4 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.13 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.29 30 29 28 26 24 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....76. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 23 TO 32 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 36 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4000 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE S CHC CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............59 63 69 75 RH..............74 67 57 49 20 FT WIND......S 9G10 S 12G25 S 15G30 S 16G30 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.5 7 9 10 EYE LVL WND GST.5 13 15 15 MIX HGT (FT).... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.23 24 28 32 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 30 $$ FORECASTER...B SIMPSON REQUESTED BY...SCOTT REED TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100401.AFCGX.01/LZK