FNUS74 KLZK 011223 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR COVE LAKE REC AREA...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 723 AM CDT THU APR 1 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... BREEZY SOUTH WINDS...COMBINED WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS WILL CREATE AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST RH VALUES OF 30 TO 35 PERCENT...COMBINED WITH BREEZY SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 25 MPH WILL CREATE CONDITIONS WHERE THE SPREAD OF WILD FIRES WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH CONTROLLED BURNS HAVING THE POTENTIAL TO GET OUT OF HAND. WHILE A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOT IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME...THE LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND FORECAST DATA WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED TODAY. IF RH VALUES DROP LOWER...OR TEMPERATURES WARM MORE THAN EXPECTED...A RED FLAG WARNING MAY BE NEEDED. A QUICK MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT IN TO SATURDAY...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ALONG A COLD FRONT THAT WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS ARKANSAS. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG...POSSIBLY SEVERE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MAX 83. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 16 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 31 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3700 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....NONE. WEATHER TYPE....NONE. TEMP............68 71 73 76 79 81 82 83 RH..............55 49 44 39 36 33 32 32 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..8 10 12 12 12 12 12 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.5 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 EYE LVL WND GST.10 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.17 20 22 25 26 29 30 31 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....57. MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 23 TO 32 MPH DECREASING TO 21 TO 22 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. STABILITY CLASS.....5. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....NONE. WEATHER TYPE....NONE. TEMP............82 76 69 64 60 58 RH..............33 40 50 60 68 72 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.13 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.32 32 29 25 23 21 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....73. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 21 TO 29 MPH INCREASING TO 31 TO 36 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4200 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............58 61 67 72 RH..............74 68 61 53 20 FT WIND......SE 7G10 SE 10G25 SE 14G30 S 15G30 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 6 8 9 EYE LVL WND GST.5 13 15 15 MIX HGT (FT).... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.21 24 31 36 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 30 50 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...TODD HOOPES TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100401.COVEL.01/LZK