FNUS74 KLZK 011214 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR FIFTY SIX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 714 AM CDT THU APR 1 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON APRIL 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR MUCH OF ARKANSAS... .DISCUSSION... BREEZY SOUTH WINDS...COMBINED WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS WILL CREATE AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST RH VALUES OF 30 TO 35 PERCENT...COMBINED WITH BREEZY SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 25 MPH WILL CREATE CONDITIONS WHERE THE SPREAD OF WILD FIRES WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH CONTROLLED BURNS HAVING THE POTENTIAL TO GET OUT OF HAND. WHILE A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOT IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME...THE LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND FORECAST DATA WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED TODAY. IF RH VALUES DROP LOWER...OR TEMPERATURES WARM MORE THAN EXPECTED...A RED FLAG WARNING MAY BE NEEDED. A QUICK MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT IN TO SATURDAY...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ALONG A COLD FRONT THAT WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS ARKANSAS. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG...POSSIBLY SEVERE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........69 AT IGNITION...MAX 81. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 21 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 31 TO 32 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3400 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....NONE. WEATHER TYPE....NONE. TEMP............69 72 75 78 80 81 81 81 RH..............52 47 43 40 36 34 32 33 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..12 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 20 FT WIND GUST.25 30 30 30 30 30 30 25 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.7 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 EYE LVL WND GST.13 15 15 15 15 15 15 13 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.24 26 28 29 30 31 32 33 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....57. MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 26 TO 35 MPH. STABILITY CLASS.....5. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....NONE. WEATHER TYPE....NONE. TEMP............80 74 68 63 59 57 RH..............33 40 50 60 68 73 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.6 5 5 5 6 7 EYE LVL WND GST.13 5 5 5 8 8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.33 35 32 30 29 28 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....74. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 26 TO 35 MPH INCREASING TO 36 TO 38 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4100 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............57 61 67 73 RH..............75 67 57 49 20 FT WIND......S 12G15 S 13G30 S 15G30 S 15G30 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.7 8 9 9 EYE LVL WND GST.8 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT).... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.26 28 30 35 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 20 30 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...SCOTT OSBORNE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100401.FIFTY.01/LZK