FNUS74 KMEG 012048
FWSMEG

SPOT FORECAST FOR LTEF RESEARCH PLOTS...U. S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
348 PM CDT THU APR 1 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1605 CDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER FRIDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTH
MISSISSIPPI DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...LOW FUEL MOISTURE AND
GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES THROUGH
FRIDAY. DRY CONDITIONS AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
AREA. LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED ON
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...MAINLY EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. MEANWHILE
A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION WILL RESULT IN GUSTY
SOUTHERLY WINDS. DRY FUELS WILL ALSO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE MIDSOUTH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
AND WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HIGHER HUMIDITIES.

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
CLOUD COVER.....CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
TEMPERATURE.....82     73     68     65     60     58
DEWPOINT........47     51     51     51     50     49
RH (%)..........30     46     55     61     69     74
20FT WIND MPH...S 6    S 5    S 5    S 6    S 7    S 6
20FT WIND GUST..8      7      7      8      9      8
MIXHGT M AGL....681    343    0      0      0      0
MIXHGT FT AGL...2237   1126   0      0      0      0
MIXHGT M MSL....839    488    117    67     82     79
MIXHGT FT MSL...2755   1602   387    221    272    260
TRANS WND M/S...S 7    S 6    S 3    S 3    S 4    S 4
TRANS WND MPH...S 16   S 13   S 7    S 7    S 8    S 8
CATEGORY DAY....3      2      1      1      1      1

.FRIDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
CLOUD COVER.....CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR
TEMPERATURE.....55     57     68     79     82     82
DEWPOINT........48     48     49     49     49     49
RH (%)..........78     73     50     35     32     31
20FT WIND MPH...S 6    S 7    S 8    S 10   S 12   S 13
20FT WIND GUST..8      9      11     14     16     18
MIXHGT M AGL....0      90     360    607    948    1141
MIXHGT FT AGL...0      298    1183   1994   3112   3746
MIXHGT M MSL....49     199    515    766    1103   1296
MIXHGT FT MSL...164    653    1691   2515   3620   4254
TRANS WND M/S...S 3    S 4    S 7    S 7    S 7    S 9
TRANS WND MPH...S 7    S 9    S 16   S 15   S 16   S 21
CATEGORY DAY....1      1      2      3      3      4

$$
FORECASTER...MCNEIL S.
REQUESTED BY...JIM WALDEN  AFMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100401.LTEFR.02/MEG