FNUS73 KAPX 022115 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR MAPES...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 515 PM EDT FRI APR 2 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1655 EDT ON APRIL 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...EXCEEDINGLY WARM TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH GUSTY WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 800 PM. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY FALL THROUGH THE EVENING... ALONG WITH RISING HUMIDITY. GUSTY WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER 800 PM AS MIXING HEIGHTS BEGIN TO LOWER. GIVEN THAT THERE IS HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE SOUTH...AND LOWER TERRAIN IN THE AU SABLE RIVER VALLEY TO THE NORTH...TEMPERATURES MAY LOWER A LITTLE FASTER THAN CURRENTLY IN THE FORECAST. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN WIND DIRECTION AND NO SUBSTANTIAL WIND SHIFTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDNIGHT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62. MAX HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH THROUGH EARLY EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 24 TO 31 MPH DECREASING TO 21 TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-600 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........MIN 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(100). MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-600 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 24 TO 31 MPH DECREASING TO 21 TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........54 54 59 59 59 59 59 59 60 60 60 60 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............80 79 78 75 73 71 69 67 65 64 62 61 RH..............21 23 25 29 33 36 40 45 50 52 56 58 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..12 10 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......120011001000700 300 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 37 TO 41 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(3000). MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 37 TO 41 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........60 65 65 65 100 100 WEATHER COV..... LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............60 57 64 68 67 71 RH..............60 64 52 45 45 31 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 7 S 9 S 10 S 11 S 13 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 25 25 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 4 4 SMOKE DISP......100 100 600 1300 2000 2900 $$ FORECASTER...JEFF HALBLAUB/JIM KEYSOR REQUESTED BY...JOHN FRY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100402.MAPES.01/APX