FNUS73 KPAH 021147 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CEDAR BLUFF...ILLINOIS DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 647 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CDT ON APRIL 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... TODAY WILL BE ALMOST A CARBON COPY OF THURSDAY AS GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS BRING WARM AND DRY WEATHER. THERE WILL BE INCREASING HIGH CLOUDINESS...WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES JUST A FEW DEGREES LOWER. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL AGAIN FALL TO NEAR CRITICALLY LOW LEVELS IN THE AFTERNOON. THE DRIEST AIR IS EXPECTED OVER SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND EAST OF KENTUCKY LAKE...WHERE A RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MAX 78. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 2300-3400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............62 68 70 71 74 75 76 77 76 75 RH..............54 47 40 38 34 33 32 31 33 36 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 10 11 12 13 13 13 12 11 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.6 3.0 3.3 3.4 3.2 2.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.14 23 24 24 24 25 25 25 24 22 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....56. MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 77 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-1100 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............73 67 64 62 59 57 RH..............38 50 58 65 69 75 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 8 S 8 S 9 S 6 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 20 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 800 100 300 100 600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 20 S 16 S 18 S 23 S 24 SW 25 CWR.............0 0 0 80 80 80 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....70. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................32 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 6 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-5400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 7200-9100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 6700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 22 TO 29 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO AROUND 17 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TEMP............57 63 67 69 RH..............72 62 45 37 20 FT WIND......S 2G15 SW 5G30 SW 7G35 SW 7G30 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 3200 5400 9100 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 24 S 12 SW 22 SW 29 CWR.............30 30 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 4 5 6 $$ FORECASTER...YORK REQUESTED BY...BOB LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100402.CEDAR.01/PAH