FNUS73 KPAH 021301 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMPSON...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 801 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... TODAY WILL BE ALMOST A CARBON COPY OF THURSDAY AS GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS BRING WARM AND DRY WEATHER. THERE WILL BE INCREASING HIGH CLOUDINESS...WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES JUST A FEW DEGREES LOWER. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL AGAIN FALL TO NEAR CRITICALLY LOW LEVELS IN THE AFTERNOON. THE DRIEST AIR IS EXPECTED OVER SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND EAST OF KENTUCKY LAKE...WHERE A RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 79. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 2400-3700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............66 69 72 74 76 77 78 77 76 RH..............45 40 37 34 32 31 30 31 33 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 11 12 12 12 12 11 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 25 25 30 30 30 25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.3 3.6 3.7 3.4 2.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.22 23 24 24 24 25 24 23 21 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....56. MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 73 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 26 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 30 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............74 68 64 62 59 57 RH..............37 47 58 62 67 72 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 8 S 8 S 9 S 6 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 20 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 900 200 300 200 100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 18 S 15 S 17 S 22 S 23 SW 26 CWR.............0 0 0 70 70 70 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. CWR.................35 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5800-7400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 8800-9800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 7100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3800 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 30 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 21 TO 28 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO AROUND 17 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TEMP............57 63 68 70 RH..............72 60 43 36 20 FT WIND......SW 3G15 SW 5G30 SW 7G35 SW 7G30 MIX HGT (FT)....500 4800 7400 9600 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 30 S 10 SW 21 SW 28 CWR.............40 40 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 5 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...YORK REQUESTED BY...FRANK PAUKERT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100402.SIMPS.01/PAH