FNUS71 KRNK 031227
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR FENWICK MINES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
827 AM EDT SAT APR 3 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0820 EDT ON APRIL 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

...ENHANCED FIRE DANGER TODAY AS SOUTH WINDS INCREASE TO 10 TO 20
MPH AND HUMIDITIES DROP TO AROUND 25 TO 30 PERCENT...

AFTER COORDINATION WITH THE USFS IN ROANOKE WE WILL BE GOING WITH
AN ENHANCED FIRE DANGER STATEMENT WHICH REPLACES THE FIRE WEATHER
WATCH. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON ARE GOING TO BE CLOSE
TO RED FLAG ACROSS SOUTHERN ASPECTS. 20-FOOT WINDS COULD GUST UP
TO 25 MPH OR MORE. A DRY COOL FRONT WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE
AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL BRING ONLY SLIGHTLY COOLER
WEATHER FOR SUNDAY...AND THEN TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB BACK WELL
ABOVE NORMAL INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHILE THE WEATHER REMAINS DRY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7
                    TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE
                    MORNING.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 8 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 24
                    TO 25 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............36     37     38     42     51
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................56     64     70     74     76
                    MIN HUMIDITY........51     45     41     37     31
WIND (20 FT)........SE 0   S 3    S 6    S 8    S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....       5      10     20     20
CWR.................0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH...DECREASING TO 7 TO 12
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............55     50     43     36     31     32
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................75     68     64     59     56     54
                    MIN HUMIDITY........32     43     52     59     64     69
WIND (20 FT)........SW 7   SW 4   W 5    NW 5   NW 2   NW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     15     15     10     5      5
CWR.................10     10     10     10     10     10

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............36     35     29     24     20     17
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................51     51     59     66     71     74
                    MIN HUMIDITY........75     71     51     38     29     25
WIND (20 FT)........NW 2   NW 3   N 3    NW 2   W 2    W 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5      5      5
CWR.................10     0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...PERRY
REQUESTED BY...STEPHEN POLK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100403.FENWI.01/RNK