FNUS73 KAPX 041411 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTHBRANCH BLOCK 5 S...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1011 AM EDT SUN APR 4 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 EDT ON APRIL 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SOUTHERLY WINDS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON OVER NORTHERN MICHIGAN...IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST INTO THE WESTERN LAKES. WINDS TO BECOME GUSTY IN THE 20S THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SUN AND GOOD MIXING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO EXIT EAST OF THE BURN AREA AFTER SUNSET...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY TRIES TO REESTABLISH ITSELF TONIGHT AND MONDAY. SOME SUN THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON WITH CLOUDS INCREASING AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN BY LATE AFTERNOON...AS UPPER MIDWEST SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE REGION. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........63 AT IGNITION...MAX 66. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6500 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (2200) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (2300). TIME (EDT) 4 PM SKY (%).........62 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE TEMP............63 RH..............29 20 FT WIND......S 14 20 FT WIND GUST.30 HAINES INDEX....5 SMOKE DISP......2200 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....48. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE EVENING. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........75 88 88 94 90 90 WEATHER COV..... SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............64 61 56 52 51 50 RH..............31 39 49 66 80 86 20 FT WIND......S 12 S 8 S 9 S 8 S 7 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 20 20 15 15 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO 24 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........63 41 41 41 37 37 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............49 48 55 62 65 65 RH..............83 74 57 43 35 34 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 6 W 9 W 13 W 14 W 13 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 25 30 25 $$ FORECASTER...SCOTT ROZANSKI REQUESTED BY...BEN EBY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100404.SOUTH.01/APX