FNUS71 KBTV 051339 FWSBTV SPOT FORECAST FOR KENNEDY HILL RD...GREEN MOUNTAIN NATIONAL FOREST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 939 AM EDT MON APR 5 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON APRIL 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LOW TO MODERATE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP TODAY. HOWEVER...THE IMPACT ON FUELS WILL BE LIMITED AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AND WEAK SURFACE FRONT MOVE ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA TODAY. THIS FEATURE WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS TO THE AREA ALONG WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS THE PRESCRIBED BURN AREA WILL BE LESS 0.05"...WITH THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR VERY LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS BETWEEN NOON AND 3PM. GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS IN THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE. THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER WILL HELP LIMIT SUNSHINE AND THE ABILITY TO DRY FINE DEAD FUELS...BUT LONG TERM DRYING HAS DEVELOPED WITH 5 STRAIGHT DAYS OF NO PRECIPITATION. ON TUESDAY...A WARM FRONT WILL DEVELOP TO OUR SOUTHWEST AND MOVE INTO THE REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS WILL ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR RAIN ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH HIGHER HUMIDITIES. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE. THE HIGHER HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AS SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BRINGS HIGHER DEW POINTS INTO THE REGION AND EVENTUALLY A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IMPACTS THE REGION WITH INCREASED RAIN CHANCES IN THE THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY TIME FRAME. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. BEGIN/END OF PCPN... MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH...INCREASING TO 12 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH BY LATE MORNING. TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............65 63 57 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TEMP................59 62 63 MIN HUMIDITY........49 46 42 WIND (20 FT)........S 13 S 13 SW 15 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 25 30 CHC OF PCPN (%).....20 20 10 HAINES INDEX........5 5 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. BEGIN/END OF PCPN... MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39. MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH...DECREASING TO 6 TO 7 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............53 49 43 36 30 38 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................61 57 53 49 45 41 MIN HUMIDITY........32 42 52 63 76 89 WIND (20 FT)........SW 17 SW 16 SW 12 SW 8 S 8 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 15 15 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 3 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. BEGIN/END OF PCPN... MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING EAST 7 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............46 54 61 67 74 79 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN TEMP................41 44 47 50 53 56 MIN HUMIDITY........89 79 71 66 59 53 WIND (20 FT)........S 6 S 7 S 6 SE 6 N 7 E 8 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 0 0 0 50 50 $$ FORECASTER...TABER REQUESTED BY...JEN EDMONDS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100405.KENNE.01/BTV