FNUS73 KLMK 051203
FWSLMK

SPOT FORECAST FOR C AREA...BGAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
803 AM EDT MON APR 5 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WITH A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST THIS MORNING...MIXING HAS BEGUN BREAKING AWAY AT THIS
MORNING/S INVERSION. A BUBBLE OF HIGHER DEWPOINTS IS ADVECTING IN
FROM THE WEST THIS MORNING SO DEWPOINTS SHOULD BE ON THE RISE OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS INTO THE LOW 50S BY IGNITION TIME. WITH A TIGHT
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE AREA TODAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE GUSTY. WE SHOULD SEE SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE 8
TO 12 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 15 TO 20 MPH. WINDS HAVE
ALREADY STARTED GUSTING THIS MORNING AND EXPECT THEM TO REMAIN THAT
WAY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. FINALLY...THERE WILL BE A CHANCE
OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR MUCH OF THE DAY AS THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY LINGERS IN THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71 AT IGNITION...MAX 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1100-2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 21
                    TO 28 MPH THROUGH MIDDAY...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........80  76  68  64  64  64  64  63  60
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............71  73  74  75  76  77  77  77  75
RH..............51  49  50  50  50  50  50  50  55
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..8   8   8   8   7   6   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-4400 FT
                    AGL...THEN INCREASING TO 3100-4600 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 1600 FT AGL IN THE
                    EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 31
                    MPH...THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 17 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........8   8   8   8   8   8   2   2   2   2   2   2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............63  67  70  74  77  79  81  83  83  84  83  81
RH..............62  54  49  43  39  36  34  32  32  31  32  34
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..7   9   10  12  14  14  14  14  14  12  11  10
20 FT WIND GUST.10  20  20  25  25  30  30  30  25  25  25  25

$$
FORECASTER...LAMMERS
REQUESTED BY...ALAN COLWELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100405.CAREA.01/LMK