FNUS73 KMKX 051421 FWSMKX SPOT FORECAST FOR HONEY CREEK - HWY FF...WDNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 921 AM CDT MON APR 5 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON APRIL 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LOOK FOR SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS GENERALLY UNDER 10 MPH INTO THE AFTERNOON...DIMINISHING BY MID AFTERNOON AS A RIDGE AXIS MOVES OVERHEAD. ONCE THE AXIS PASSES BY...AROUND 4 PM THIS AFTERN00N... WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT AROUND TO A LIGHT SOUTHEAST FLOW. THE TIMING OF THIS FIRE PUTS YOU IN A VARIABLE WIND SITUATION... STARTING OUT WITH LIGHT WESTERTLY...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION IF THE INVERSION BREAKS QUICK ENOUGH THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR A WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 15 MPH AND ENOUGH MIXING TO DROP THE RH A LITTLE LOWER THAN FORECAST BEFORE THE ADVANCING LAKE BREEZE KICKS IN LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS ALSO AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING STRONG WARM FRONT THAT WILL ENTER FAR SOUTHERN WISCONSIN LATER TONIGHT...IT THEN HOLDS STATIONARY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. LOOK FOR DRY WEATHER TODAY WITH INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS BY AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD RAIN DEVELOPS THIS EVENING AND CONTINUES OFF AND ON THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HAVE A GOOD BURN. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING...INCREASING CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60 AT IGNITION...MAX 68. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 6. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /52700 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD /32800 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO GOOD /52700 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT /92600 KNOT-FT/ LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO FAIR TO GOOD (29600-36600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............56 63 65 66 RH..............55 40 33 32 20 FT WIND......W 8 W 8 SW 7 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 14 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING. PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 54. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1800-37400 KNOT-FT). TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY PERIOD PERIOD WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............65 62 59 58 57 56 RH..............40 52 58 60 64 74 20 FT WIND......SE 5 E 5 E 5 E 7 SE 7 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 3 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...HENTZ REQUESTED BY...MARTY JOHNSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100405.HONEY.01/MKX