FNUS73 KPAH 051334 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR TA 49...DOD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 834 AM CDT MON APR 5 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... GIVEN THE PROXIMITY TO THE LAKES AND ORIENTATION OF THE WINDS...LOCAL GUSTS MAY EVEN APPROACH 30 MPH DURING THE MIDDAY HOURS. THE MAJORITY OF THE CLOUD COVER SHOULD REMAIN ALONG AND NORTH OF THE PRESCRIBED BURN AREA...AND THIN OUT DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. GIVEN THE MOIST AREA AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL HAVE A DIFFICULT TIME FALLING BELOW 30 TO 35 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES...MAINLY NORTH (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........72 AT IGNITION...MAX 82. MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. CWR.................29 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4900 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 3500-5000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 16 TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW TEMP............72 74 77 78 79 80 81 80 79 RH..............68 66 58 56 52 51 47 49 49 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 8 9 9 8 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 20 20 25 25 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 3.0 3.9 4.5 4.9 5.0 4.6 3.5 2.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.16 17 16 16 17 18 20 18 16 CWR.............30 30 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....60. MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............77 74 71 69 68 67 66 64 63 62 62 61 RH..............52 55 61 63 63 65 65 70 70 72 70 72 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 12 12 13 14 15 15 14 13 14 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....80. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH INCREASING TO 11 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-4000 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............61 64 67 70 72 75 76 78 79 79 79 78 RH..............72 67 63 59 55 50 48 43 42 41 41 42 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 9 10 11 12 13 14 14 13 11 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 30 30 35 35 35 35 35 30 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.7 4.0 3.8 2.9 1.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.17 20 22 24 26 29 30 30 29 26 23 20 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...SMITH REQUESTED BY...DREW MICKOLAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100405.TA49_.01/PAH