FNUS71 KCTP 061524 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR F-01 AERIAL-UPDATE 1...PA ARNG NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1124 AM EDT TUE APR 6 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON APRIL 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... A WARM FRONT HAS LIFTED TO THE NORTH OF THE STATE LATE THIS MORNING. MINOR AMOUNTS OF RAIN IN SHOWERS WILL JUST WET THE FINE FUELS A BIT. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE GUSTY TODAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE LAUREL AND ALLEGHENY MOUNTAINS. THE FUELS ARE ALREADY WELL BELOW 10 PERCENT...AND WILL DRY OUT AGAIN AFTER THIS MORNINGS RAIN. THE RH/S WILL AGAIN GET DOWN INTO THE 30-35 PERCENT RANGE. HOWEVER... DEWPOINTS WILL BE SLOWLY RISING AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. THIS SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO KEEP US AWAY FROM MEETING ALL THE RED FLAG CRITERIA. WEDNESDAY WILL BE ANOTHER HOT DAY WITH MIN RH/S DIPPING INTO THE 30-40 PERCENT RANGE. AGAIN...WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST COULD GUST OVER 20 KTS...AND FULL SUN WILL HELP TO DRY THE FUELS. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS POSSIBLE IF THESE CONDITIONS PERSIST...ESPECIALLY IF RH/S DIP SLIGHTLY LOWER. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH...INCREASING TO 25 TO 29 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............36 20 15 8 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................70 74 79 78 MIN HUMIDITY........58 49 42 41 WIND (20 FT)........E 5 SW 12 W 16 W 15 20 FT WIND GUST..... 15 25 TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 14 SW 22 SW 28 SW 26 LAL.................1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MAX HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 23 MPH...DECREASING TO 6 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............6 2 1 1 0 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................76 72 70 68 66 63 MIN HUMIDITY........44 50 52 55 58 61 WIND (20 FT)........SW 13 SW 9 SW 8 W 8 W 8 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 10 10 TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 23 SW 13 SW 9 SW 9 SW 8 SW 7 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH...INCREASING TO 18 TO 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............1 5 5 4 1 1 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................61 63 69 74 77 80 MIN HUMIDITY........66 62 55 47 42 38 WIND (20 FT)........SW 6 SW 7 W 12 W 15 SW 16 SW 15 20 FT WIND GUST..... 15 20 20 25 TRANSPORT WINDS.....SW 6 SW 7 W 18 W 24 W 23 W 24 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP/RXR REQUESTED BY...MR SHANNON HENRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100406.F01AE.02/CTP