FNUS72 KMHX 061230 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR 3 1 13 ALLIGATOR RIVER AG FIELDS...USFWS ALLIGATOR RIVER NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 830 AM EDT TUE APR 6 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SOUTHWEST WINDS WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY OVER THE AREA...BECOMING MORE SOUTHERLY THIS AFTERNOON. SOME JETTING BELOW INVERSION EARLY THIS MORNING WHICH MAY RESULT IN GUSTINESS WHEN INVERSION BREAKS. BURN-OFF TEMP FCST OF 75 DEGREES...AROUND 11 AM. HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND OVER THE AREA FROM OFFSHORE THROUGH WED...WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRES INLAND. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA THU AND CROSS THE REGION FRI. COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT OVER THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL THIS AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............16 12 9 13 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................70 77 80 81 MIN HUMIDITY........68 54 47 47 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 10 SW 13 SW 15 SW 15 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 20 20 HAINES INDEX........5 6 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............16 20 18 16 14 18 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................78 74 72 70 68 67 MIN HUMIDITY........54 62 68 73 81 81 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 13 SW 12 SW 12 SW 10 SW 10 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2200-4000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............20 24 20 14 10 14 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................66 67 73 79 82 82 MIN HUMIDITY........84 78 59 49 46 47 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 9 SW 9 SW 10 SW 13 SW 15 SW 15 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 15 20 20 HAINES INDEX........5 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...DAIL REQUESTED BY...HELEN CZERNIK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100406.3113A.01/MHX