FNUS71 KRNK 070312 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR ROARING RUN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1111 PM EDT TUE APR 6 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2255 EDT ON APRIL 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ...ENHANCED FIRE DANGER WITH LOW HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY... ...HUMIDITY LEVELS SLOW TO RECOVER OVERNIGHT... STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES WILL RESULT IN MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH RECORD TO NEAR RECORD WARMTH THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S TO NEAR 90 CAN BE EXPECTED AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... AND WILL COUPLE WITH LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS TO PROMOTE ANOTHER DAY OF ENHANCED FIRE DANGER. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL ALSO BE VERY SLOW TO RECOVER THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH VALUES REMAINING BELOW 50 PERCENT UNTIL VERY LATE TONIGHT. SUSTAINED SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY. GUSTS TO 25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS. DURING THE PEAK HEATING PART OF THE DAY... THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY DIP TO AROUND 20 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY WITH A STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE THURSDAY. THE WEATHER BEHIND THIS FRONT WILL BE MORE SEASONAL THAN CURRENT WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY...AND NEAR SEASONAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MAX HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 23 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH LATE. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TIME (EDT) 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).............2 4 4 5 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................75 68 63 61 MIN HUMIDITY........26 36 54 60 WIND (20 FT)........SW 2 N 1 NE 1 SE 1 20 FT WIND GUST..... WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SW 1 N 1 NE 1 SE 1 EYE LVL WND GST..... CWR.................0 0 0 0 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH...INCREASING TO 26 TO 28 MPH. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 11 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............7 10 0 12 32 40 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................59 59 69 77 82 86 MIN HUMIDITY........65 64 45 34 28 25 WIND (20 FT)........SE 0 NE 1 NW 6 W 9 SW 8 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST..... 15 20 20 20 WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SE 0 NE 1 NW 4 W 7 SW 6 SW 6 EYE LVL WND GST..... 15 20 20 20 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58. MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 30 MPH. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............42 42 47 52 58 63 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................85 78 74 70 67 64 MIN HUMIDITY........27 35 43 50 57 62 WIND (20 FT)........SW 7 SW 5 SW 5 SW 4 SW 4 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 10 10 10 5 5 WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SW 5 SW 4 SW 4 SW 3 SW 3 SW 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....20 10 10 10 5 5 CWR.................0 10 10 10 20 20 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR (0.01 IN).......70 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 29 MPH...BECOMING WEST 26 TO 33 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............68 73 80 86 90 91 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................61 60 63 66 68 68 MIN HUMIDITY........69 73 65 60 56 54 WIND (20 FT)........SW 4 SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 W 5 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 10 10 15 WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SW 3 SW 3 SW 4 SW 4 W 4 W 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 10 10 10 10 15 CWR.................20 40 40 40 70 70 $$ FORECASTER...HUDGINS REQUESTED BY...STEPHEN POLK TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100406.ROARI.02/RNK