FNUS71 KBGM 071355 FWSBGM SPOT FORECAST FOR FINGER LAKES RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 955 AM EDT WED APR 7 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THIS MORNING WILL BE WARM AND DRY WITH GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. RH VALUES AROUND 40 PERCENT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDDAY THEN INCREASE WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 21 MPH...DECREASING TO 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2900-3800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 48 TO 54 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND...DECREASING TO 31 TO 37 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO GOOD (42800-53700 KNOT-FT). TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............38 54 60 58 WEATHER COV......... ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................69 71 73 74 MIN HUMIDITY........47 47 46 44 WIND (20 FT)........W 10 W 8 W 6 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 20 LAL.................1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 VRATE KT-FT/1000....43 43 54 54 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 33 TO 36 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (13700-53700 KNOT-FT). TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............58 58 63 70 75 79 WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................72 67 62 59 56 55 MIN HUMIDITY........49 59 67 75 80 83 WIND (20 FT)........W 4 W 2 W 2 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 5 5 5 10 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 VRATE KT-FT/1000....54 54 54 54 14 14 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3600-4300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 31 TO 35 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (13700 KNOT-FT)...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (79700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............84 88 90 94 96 96 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................55 56 60 64 66 67 MIN HUMIDITY........80 77 67 58 54 52 WIND (20 FT)........SW 3 SW 4 SW 5 SW 6 S 7 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 15 20 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 VRATE KT-FT/1000....14 14 14 14 80 80 $$ FORECASTER...MUNDSCHENK REQUESTED BY...BRENDA DALE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100407.FINGE.01/BGM