FNUS71 KRNK 072343 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR FASSIFERN FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 743 PM EDT WED APR 7 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1928 EDT ON APRIL 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS 17 TO 22 MPH CAN BE THIS EVENING...WITH THE HIGHER GUSTS AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE HUMIDITIES WILL RECOVER TO AROUND 75 PERCENT BY DAYBREAK. WE FINALLY BREAK THE WARM AND DRY SPELL THURSDAY AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY WITH A STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. BEHIND THE FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY WINDS WILL BE BLUSTERY AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMALS. DRY WEATHER AND NEAR SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 26 MPH...BECOMING WEST 2 TO 6 MPH. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. TIME (EDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).............34 25 26 28 26 40 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................76 72 68 65 62 60 MIN HUMIDITY........22 25 31 43 57 67 WIND (20 FT)........SW 4 SW 4 SW 3 W 3 W 3 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 5 5 5 5 WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SW 3 SW 3 SW 2 W 2 W 2 SW 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 10 5 5 5 5 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS STARTING LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR (0.01 IN).......90 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 9 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 24 TO 29 MPH. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............47 61 74 84 92 95 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................58 57 62 65 68 65 MIN HUMIDITY........72 77 69 63 56 57 WIND (20 FT)........SW 3 S 3 SW 6 SW 9 SW 10 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 15 20 25 20 WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SW 2 S 2 SW 4 SW 7 SW 8 SW 8 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 15 20 25 20 CWR.................0 10 30 50 90 90 .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40. MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CWR (0.01 IN).......90 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 33 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 35 TO 38 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............95 90 80 68 58 56 WEATHER COV.........DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................56 54 51 47 45 43 MIN HUMIDITY........68 63 66 71 74 75 WIND (20 FT)........W 9 W 8 W 9 W 11 NW 12 NW 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 20 25 25 25 WIND (EYE LEVEL)....W 7 W 6 W 7 W 8 NW 9 NW 9 EYE LVL WND GST.....20 15 20 25 25 25 CWR.................90 40 40 40 20 20 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 26 TO 33 MPH. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....WEST WINDS 13 TO 14 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............56 57 52 47 43 41 WEATHER COV.........S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................42 41 42 43 44 45 MIN HUMIDITY........75 72 61 51 45 44 WIND (20 FT)........NW 11 NW 11 NW 11 NW 11 NW 11 W 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 25 25 25 25 25 WIND (EYE LEVEL)....NW 8 NW 8 NW 8 NW 8 NW 8 W 8 EYE LVL WND GST.....25 25 25 25 25 25 CWR.................20 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...SILVERMAN REQUESTED BY...STEVE SMESTAD TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100407.FASSI.01/RNK