FNUS71 KRNK 072353 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR ROARING RUN...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 753 PM EDT WED APR 7 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1940 EDT ON APRIL 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS AS 17 TO 22 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED THIS EVENING...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE HUMIDITIES WILL RECOVER TO AROUND 75 PERCENT BY DAYBREAK. WE FINALLY BREAK THE WARM AND DRY SPELL THURSDAY AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY WITH A STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE THURSDAY. BEHIND THE FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY WINDS WILL BE BLUSTERY AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE MORE SEASONAL. DRY WEATHER AND NEAR SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57. MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH...DECREASING TO 3 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. TIME (EDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).............74 65 66 67 52 63 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................83 76 70 67 64 62 MIN HUMIDITY........19 25 34 45 58 67 WIND (20 FT)........SW 5 S 5 SW 4 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 5 5 5 WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SW 4 S 4 SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 10 10 5 5 5 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR (0.01 IN).......80 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 9 MPH...INCREASING TO 29 TO 33 MPH. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............39 50 61 71 79 85 WEATHER COV......... S CHC CHC DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................60 59 64 69 72 75 MIN HUMIDITY........72 76 67 59 51 42 WIND (20 FT)........SW 2 S 3 S 6 S 9 SW 10 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 15 20 20 20 WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SW 2 S 2 S 4 S 7 SW 8 SW 7 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 15 20 20 20 CWR.................0 10 20 50 80 80 .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41. MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CWR (0.01 IN).......80 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............89 88 79 67 56 49 WEATHER COV.........DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TEMP................65 61 56 52 48 46 MIN HUMIDITY........51 52 57 62 66 67 WIND (20 FT)........W 9 W 8 W 9 W 10 NW 10 NW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 20 20 20 20 WIND (EYE LEVEL)....W 7 W 6 W 7 W 7 NW 8 NW 7 EYE LVL WND GST.....20 15 20 20 20 20 CWR.................80 40 40 30 10 10 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 26 TO 32 MPH. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....WEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............45 43 41 41 40 39 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................44 43 46 49 51 52 MIN HUMIDITY........68 68 53 43 36 34 WIND (20 FT)........NW 9 NW 8 NW 9 NW 10 NW 10 W 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 20 25 20 WIND (EYE LEVEL)....NW 7 NW 6 NW 7 NW 7 NW 8 W 8 EYE LVL WND GST.....20 20 20 20 25 20 CWR.................10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...SILVERMAN REQUESTED BY...RON NIXON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100407.ROARI.02/RNK