FNUS71 KBGM 081411 FWSBGM SPOT FORECAST FOR FINGER LAKES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 1011 AM EDT THU APR 8 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON APRIL 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MIDDAY SUN WILL WARM TEMPERATURES INTO THE 70S THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS AND SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE IN THE AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE IN WITH THE FRONT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 17 TO 22 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 2700 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 TO 33 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 32 TO 37 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6100 KNOT-FT)...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (60800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............56 43 79 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................68 70 67 MIN HUMIDITY........47 41 50 WIND (20 FT)........S 11 S 14 S 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 20 20 LAL.................1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 VRATE KT-FT/1000....6 61 61 .TONIGHT... LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (34200-60800 KNOT-FT). TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 2 2 2 2 2 VRATE KT-FT/1000....61 61 61 61 34 34 .FRIDAY... LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (34200 KNOT-FT)...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (87600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 VRATE KT-FT/1000....34 34 34 34 88 88 $$ FORECASTER...WATSON REQUESTED BY...DAVE DISANTO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100408.FINGE.02/BGM