FNUS71 KCTP 081340 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR BLAIRS VALLEY ROAD...PA BUREAU OF FORESTRY/DCNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 940 AM EDT THU APR 8 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0928 EDT ON APRIL 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... DEWPOINTS WILL BE HIGHER TODAY THAN THE LAST FEW DAYS AND TEMPERATURES MUCH COOLER OVER THE WEST AND SLIGHTLY COOLER - BUT STILL VERY HOT FOR EARLY APRIL - IN THE EAST. STILL...THE RH/S WILL DIP INTO THE 40S IN THE WEST AND INTO THE 30S IN THE EAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST - REACHING THE WESTERN LOCATIONS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONT WILL MARCH STEADILY ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH LATE EVENING. SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH SHOULD NOT BE TOO GUSTY BEFORE THE FRONT...BUT MANY THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTS OVER 40 MPH...AND A FEW COULD APPROACH 55 OR 60 MPH IN THE STRONGEST STORMS. THE WINDS WILL TURN WESTERLY AFTER THE FRONT PASSES...AND TEMPERATURES WILL DROP VERY QUICKLY. THE RAIN FROM THE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE THE THREAT OF RAPID FIRE GROWTH LATE TODAY AND FOR FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL BE BELOW NORMAL FOR THE FIRST TIME IN TWO WEEKS. SO...COMPARED WITH THURSDAY WHEN ALL OF THE AREA MET RED FLAG CRITERIA...THE HIGHER DEWPOINTS AND SLIGHTLY LIGHTER WINDS SHOULD KEEP US FROM MEETING RED FLAG CRITERIA. HOWEVER...THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON IN THE EAST AND CENTRAL COUNTIES COULD STILL HAVE AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1400...THEN 9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 1700...THEN >25 STRIKES. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 23 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............18 20 32 34 41 52 66 93 100 WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH SCH DEF WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW TEMP................66 68 71 72 72 71 71 70 68 MIN HUMIDITY........57 53 48 46 47 49 48 49 50 20 FT WIND DIR......S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......8 10 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 15 15 20 25 30 30 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....17 16 16 16 17 18 17 17 18 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 90 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 5 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LAL.................>25 STRIKES UNTIL 2300...THEN NO TSTMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 28 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............100 100 100 100 95 92 89 86 85 76 59 50 WEATHER COV.........DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP................66 63 60 59 57 56 54 53 51 50 48 47 MIN HUMIDITY........52 55 58 59 61 62 62 63 63 64 65 66 20 FT WIND DIR......SW W W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......13 12 12 10 9 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....35 35 30 25 20 15 10 10 10 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W W W NW NW W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....21 24 26 25 24 22 22 23 24 25 26 28 CHC OF PCPN (%).....90 90 90 90 90 60 60 60 0 0 0 0 LAL.................5 5 5 5 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 .FRIDAY... LAL.................NO TSTMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 TO 29 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....29 29 29 29 28 26 25 24 23 24 24 25 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 $$ FORECASTER...JUNG/LAMBERT REQUESTED BY...JAMES SMITH TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100408.BLAIR.01/CTP