FNUS73 KICT 081002 FWSICT SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH BURN...KANSAS WILDLIFE AND PARKS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 502 AM CDT THU APR 8 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TODAY...AND WILL PROVIDE SUNNY SKIES. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE TO 10 TO 15 MPH...AND CONTINUE AT THOSE SPEEDS THROUGH THE DAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO FALL TO AROUND 28 PERCENT BY MID-AFTERNOON. WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL BE LIGHT AND WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY...AND THEN WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A SURFACE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO CENTRAL KANSAS LATE IN THE DAY ON FRIDAY...BUT IS NOT EXPECTED TO MAKE IT THROUGH THE BURN LOCATION. THE FRONT WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE RETREATING WESTWARD ON SATURDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........49 AT IGNITION...MAX 64. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 7900-9300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 6700 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........15 11 9 9 11 12 13 14 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............49 53 57 60 62 63 63 62 RH..............45 40 35 32 30 28 29 30 20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 7 6 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.8 5.8 7.9 8.3 8.8 9.3 8.0 6.7 MIXNG WIND DIR..W NW NW NW NW NW NW W MIXNG WIND SPD..21 20 17 16 15 14 12 9 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....38. MAX HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-2000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 17 TO 18 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........15 11 6 2 1 1 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............60 52 48 45 43 41 RH..............32 41 47 51 55 60 20 FT WIND......NW 4 S 2 S 2 S 4 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 MIX HGT (FT)....5400 2000 300 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......W 8 S 7 S 8 S 12 S 15 S 17 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 5 4 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....76. MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-4000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5200-6400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 21 TO 29 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 24 TO 32 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 20 TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........1 1 1 1 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............39 53 68 75 RH..............68 43 28 24 20 FT WIND......S 6G15 S 13G30 S 13G30 S 11G25 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1200 2900 6400 MIXNG WIND......S 21 S 32 S 29 SW 24 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 6 $$ FORECASTER...SCHRECK REQUESTED BY...TED TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100408.NORTH.01/ICT