FNUS71 KRNK 081204
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE CATHERINE FIRE...VDOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
804 AM EDT THU APR 8 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0751 EDT ON APRIL 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WE FINALLY BREAK THE WARM AND DRY SPELL THURSDAY AS LATE AFTERNOON
OR EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF A STRONG
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE AT LEAST A QUARTER
INCH...AND LIKELY A HALF INCH OR MORE. THE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE IN AFTER 400 PM...AND MOST LIKELY AFTER 600
PM. THE SHOWERS WILL END BEFORE MIDNIGHT. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE
BREEZY WITH STRONG GUSTS AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN
SHIFT TO THE WEST...BECOMING BLUSTERY BEHIND THE FRONT. THE WEATHER
BEHIND THIS FRONT WILL BE MORE SEASONAL THAN CURRENT WEATHER
CONDITIONS WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY...AND NEAR
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND.

HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL DROP INTO THE 20S EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH A WEST WIND UP TO 15 MPH. HUMIDITIES WILL
RECOVER EACH NIGHT WITH FROST POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 5MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
CWR (0.01 IN).......80 PERCENT AFTER 600 PM.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON OR
                    EARLY EVENING.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT SOUTH WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8
                    TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............26     32     42     58     73     83
WEATHER COV.........                                   CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TEMP................63     65     70     73     74     76
                    MIN HUMIDITY........63     60     54     49     50     49
WIND (20 FT)........S 3    S 5    S 7    SW 12   SW 14  SW 12
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      10     20     25     25     25
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....S 2    S 4    S 5    SW 8   SW 10  SW 8
EYE LVL WND GST.....5      10     20     25     25     25
CWR.................0      0      0      10     10     60

$$
FORECASTER...JACKSON
REQUESTED BY...DEBBIE ZIMNIEWICZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100408.LAKEC.01/RNK