FNUS73 KAPX 101325 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTHBRANCH BLOCK 5 S...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 925 AM EDT SAT APR 10 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON APRIL 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A NARROW AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY OVER THE REGION...WILL DIMINISH AND PUSH EAST YET THIS MORNING. THIS WILL ALLOW A WEAK SYSTEM FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST...TO MOVE OVER NORTHERN MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE EXITING EAST OF THE REGION AROUND 8 PM. A FEW RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE NOTED OVER THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON IN RESPONSE TO THIS SYSTEM. WINDS TODAY WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS MORNING...BEFORE TURNING WESTERLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AS THE SYSTEM EXITS EAST OF THE REGION. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 60. MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 29 TO 33 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2700-3800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (700) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (1600). TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........69 81 81 WEATHER COV..... SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............52 59 60 RH..............41 35 39 20 FT WIND......S 12 S 14 SW 15 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......700 1000 1500 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....33. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........81 47 47 47 31 31 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............57 53 45 41 38 36 RH..............47 58 76 86 96 98 20 FT WIND......W 14 W 13 W 11 W 9 NW 7 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.25 20 15 15 10 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....61. MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........31 24 24 24 20 20 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............35 36 46 54 58 59 RH..............100 93 57 38 29 25 20 FT WIND......W 5 SW 5 W 7 W 9 W 12 W 11 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 20 25 25 $$ FORECASTER...SCOTT ROZANSKI REQUESTED BY...BEN EBY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100410.SOUTH.01/APX