FNUS75 KBOU 112130 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SULLIVAN GULCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 315 PM MDT SUN APR 11 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND MONDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM. GUSTY AND DRY DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL PREVAIL. INCREASING MOISTURE ON MONDAY COUPLED WITH AFTERNOON HEATING WILL BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE DAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-64. MIN HUMIDITY........10-12%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 24 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8800-9000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-39. MAX HUMIDITY........33-38%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-16 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......8800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-65. MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHWEST 12-18 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-16 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9200-10200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SULLIVAN GULCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 04/11-15 31 0 54 19 S 13 17 4 1 W22 9099 SW 15 116734 V 04/11-16 31 0 54 20 SW 13 1 8967 SW 15 118290 V 04/11-17 31 0 54 21 SW 13 1 8836 SW 16 119847 V 04/11-18 31 0 54 21 SW 13 17 4 1 SW24 8705 SW 16 121403 V 04/11-19 31 0 52 23 SW 10 1 6946 SW 14 90060 G 04/11-20 31 0 50 25 S 8 1 5186 SW 12 58718 F 04/11-21 31 0 48 27 S 6 6 6 1 SW22 3427 SW 9 27375 P 04/11-22 31 0 46 29 S 7 1 2415 SW 9 19103 P 04/11-23 31 0 45 31 S 8 1 1403 SW 8 10831 P 04/12-00 32 0 44 32 S 9 9 4 1 SW24 391 SW 8 2559 P 04/12-01 32 0 43 33 S 9 1 342 SW 7 2188 P 04/12-02 32 0 42 34 S 9 1 293 SW 7 1816 P 04/12-03 32 0 41 34 S 8 8 5 1 SW26 244 SW 7 1445 P 04/12-04 32 0 41 35 SW 8 1 227 SW 7 1324 P 04/12-05 32 0 40 36 SW 7 1 211 W 7 1202 P 04/12-06 32 0 40 36 SW 7 7 5 1 S25 194 W 7 1080 P 04/12-07 32 0 41 36 SW 6 1 527 SW 7 3073 P 04/12-08 32 0 43 35 SW 6 1 861 SW 7 5067 P 04/12-09 25 0 46 32 SW 6 6 3 1 S29 1194 SW 7 7060 P 04/12-10 25 0 49 28 SW 8 1 3881 SW 12 60215 G 04/12-11 25 0 53 24 S 10 1 6569 S 16 113370 V 04/12-12 46 0 56 21 S 13 17 3 1 S32 9256 S 21 166525 E 04/12-13 46 0 57 20 S 13 1 9790 S 23 198907 E 04/12-14 46 6 59 19 S 12 1 10324 S 25 231288 E 04/12-15 60 6 59 18 S 12 12 4 1 S41 10858 S 28 263669 E 04/12-16 60 6 59 18 S 13 1 9866 S 28 240234 E 04/12-17 60 6 58 18 S 14 1 8875 S 28 216799 E 04/12-18 71 20 57 19 SW 15 21 4 2 S41 7883 S 29 193364 E 04/12-19 71 20 54 21 S 17 2 5355 S 25 130451 V 04/12-20 71 20 51 24 S 20 2 2826 S 22 67538 G 04/12-21 71 20 41 36 S 22 33 3 2 S41 298 S 18 4625 P 04/12-22 71 20 39 40 S 21 2 260 S 16 3781 P 04/12-23 71 20 37 45 S 17 2 223 S 15 2937 P 04/13-00 76 30 36 48 S 16 16 3 1 S31 185 S 13 2094 P 04/13-01 76 30 35 50 S 18 1 202 S 15 2670 P 04/13-02 76 30 34 52 S 21 1 219 SW 17 3247 P 04/13-03 76 30 33 52 S 23 35 3 1 S43 236 SW 18 3824 P 04/13-04 76 30 33 52 S 22 1 261 SW 17 3788 P 04/13-05 76 30 33 50 S 18 1 286 SW 15 3752 P 04/13-06 74 30 34 48 S 15 15 3 2 S53 311 SW 14 3717 P 04/13-07 74 30 34 45 S 12 2 1505 SW 18 33419 P 04/13-08 74 30 35 43 S 9 2 2698 SW 23 63121 G 04/13-09 74 30 37 40 S 7 7 2 2 S83 3892 SW 28 92823 G 04/13-10 74 30 40 37 S 6 2 5117 S 29 129788 V 04/13-11 74 30 42 36 S 6 2 6341 S 30 166753 E 04/13-12 70 30 44 35 S 7 7 2 4 S81 7565 S 31 203718 E 04/13-13 70 30 45 34 S 10 4 8235 S 32 227639 E 04/13-14 70 30 46 33 SW 16 4 8904 S 32 251561 E 04/13-15 70 30 47 32 SW 22 33 2 4 S67 9574 S 33 275482 E 04/13-16 70 30 47 32 W 28 4 9543 SW 36 294727 E 04/13-17 70 30 46 33 W 32 4 9513 SW 38 313973 E 04/13-18 52 20 45 33 W 36 54 2 1 S52 9482 SW 40 333218 E 04/13-19 52 20 44 32 W 38 1 8198 SW 39 279379 E 04/13-20 52 20 42 32 W 38 1 6914 W 37 225540 E 04/13-21 52 20 39 33 W 38 58 3 1 SW28 5630 W 35 171701 E 04/13-22 52 20 38 34 W 38 1 5399 W 36 168145 E 04/13-23 52 20 37 34 W 39 1 5168 W 37 164588 E 04/14-00 31 5 36 35 W 38 58 3 1 SW26 4938 W 38 161031 E 04/14-01 31 5 35 35 W 37 1 4795 W 37 154678 E 04/14-02 31 5 35 35 W 33 1 4653 W 37 148325 V 04/14-03 31 5 34 36 W 31 47 3 1 W32 4510 W 36 141972 V 04/14-04 31 5 34 39 W 29 1 4588 W 35 135200 V 04/14-05 31 5 34 41 W 25 1 4665 W 32 128429 V 04/14-06 16 0 34 43 W 23 35 3 1 W45 4743 W 30 121657 V 04/14-07 16 0 35 43 W 21 1 4949 W 25 109862 V 04/14-08 16 0 37 40 W 20 1 5155 W 22 98066 G 04/14-09 16 0 39 35 W 17 26 3 1 W43 5361 W 18 86271 G 04/14-10 16 0 42 31 W 14 1 6306 W 17 94190 G 04/14-11 16 0 45 29 SW 12 1 7251 SW 16 102109 V 04/14-12 16 2 47 26 S 9 9 2 1 W46 8196 SW 15 110029 V 04/14-13 16 2 48 25 S 10 1 8356 SW 17 124933 V 04/14-14 16 2 49 24 S 12 1 8516 SW 18 139838 V 04/14-15 16 2 49 24 S 13 13 2 1 W45 8677 SW 21 154743 E 04/14-16 16 2 49 23 S 12 1 8280 SW 20 142869 V 04/14-17 16 2 49 22 S 9 1 7883 SW 20 130994 V 04/14-18 59 2 48 23 S 7 7 2 1 SW46 7487 S 18 119120 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...SCOTT MOLINARI REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100411.SULLI.01/BOU