FNUS75 KGJT 111429
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR YELLOW PINE...USFS GUNNISON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
829 AM MDT SUN APR 11 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 MDT ON APRIL 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES TO RAISE TEMPERATURES...
ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
LIKELY BE VEERED TO WEST ALONG THE SLOPE OF THE BURN SITE. MONDAY...
THE NEXT COLD FRONT WORKS INTO UTAH. MORNING INVERSIONS WILL BE WEAK
AND BREAK EARLY. FLOW BACKS TO SOUTH AND STRENGTHENS THROUGH THE DAY.
INCREASING MID-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE INSTABILITY LATE IN THE
DAY. WATCH FOR VIRGA FORMING THAT COULD CREATE ERRATIC GUSTS AND FIRE
BEHAVIOR.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH PERIODS OF HIGH CLOUDS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-56 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-16%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 3-6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR AT 1130...BECOMING GOOD BY 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR BY 1900 HOURS.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%) IN THE AFTERNOON. TOWERING
                    CUMULUS WITH VIRGA OR SPRINKLES AFTER 1500.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH
                    10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR AFTERNOON VIRGA.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    BY 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 28 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...J  CHONKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100411.YELLO.01/GJT