FNUS73 KAPX 121401 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR CURTIS PINE FUELS...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1001 AM EDT MON APR 12 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON APRIL 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE TO REMAIN OVER THE GREAT LAKES INTO MONDAY...WHILE A DEVELOPING SYSTEM OVER THE PLAINS SLOWLY MOVES TOWARD THE STATE. MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IN ADVANCE OF PLAINS SYSTEM...WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE STATE TODAY...HOWEVER NO RAIN IS EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE UNTIL LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. EASTERLY WINDS OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY AND MUCH OF TUESDAY...AS HIGH PRESSURE LIFTS NORTHEAST TONIGHT WHILE A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 55. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...SHIFTING EAST 6 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4000-4300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (200) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (400). TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........48 48 48 48 48 67 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............53 55 55 54 53 53 RH..............36 41 43 32 34 36 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 SMOKE DISP......200 300 300 300 400 400 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....34. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1100 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(100). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........67 67 86 86 86 86 86 86 96 96 96 96 WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............52 50 47 44 41 39 38 37 36 35 34 34 RH..............38 39 43 49 59 67 70 75 79 82 85 85 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 SMOKE DISP......300 200 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....53. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........96 93 93 93 76 76 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TEMP............34 34 42 48 51 52 RH..............85 89 67 58 50 46 20 FT WIND......E 2 E 2 E 5 E 7 E 7 E 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 $$ FORECASTER...SCOTT ROZANSKI REQUESTED BY...BEN EBY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100412.CURTI.01/APX