FNUS73 KBIS 121427 FWSBIS SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH SOUTH COMMUNITY...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 927 AM CDT MON APR 12 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 MDT ON APRIL 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AS LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN WYOMING CONTINUES TO DEEPEN. THE ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT STILL EXTENDS EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...WHICH IS KEEPING SITE WINDS EASTERLY. GUSTS WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE WIND SPEEDS VARIABLE THROUGH TOMORROW. AS THE LOW BEGINS TO LIFT INTO EASTERN MONTANA TOMORROW...THE WARM FRONT WILL ALSO BEGIN A NORTHWARD TREK THROUGH NORTH DAKOTA. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN ALL DAY...WHICH INCREASES TO A CHANCE THIS EVENING AND LIKELY TUESDAY. THERE IS INSTABILITY PRESENT...SO THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO A POSSIBILITY. WIND SHIFTS WILL BE A PROBLEM WITH ANY PRECIPITATION THAT PASSES OVER THE AREA...SINCE WINDS ALOFT ARE SOUTHWESTERLY AND COULD BE MIXED DOWN TO THE SURFACE BY DOWNDRAFTS. THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...SO HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OVER 57 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH CONVECTION THAT PASSES OVER THE SITE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. 1200...WINDS EAST-NORTHEAST AT 14 MPH GUSTING TO 23 MPH. TEMP...60 RELATIVE HUMIDITY...38 PERCENT. 1400...WINDS EAST AT 19 MPH GUSTING TO 26 MPH. TEMP...66. RELATIVE HUMIDITY...34 PERCENT. 1500...WINDS EAST AT 21 MPH GUSTING TO 28 MPH. TEMP...68 RELATIVE HUMIDITY...33 PERCENT. 1700...WINDS EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 24 GUSTING TO 31 MPH. TEMP...69 RELATIVE HUMIDITY...37 PERCENT. ALSO...THANKS FOR THE CALL. IT IS EASY FOR THESE TO GET LOST AND IT HELPS MAKE SURE WE DO NOT MISS SOMETHING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........69 AT IGNITION...MAX 70. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 14 WITH GUSTS TO 23 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE BREEZY. EAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO EAST AROUND 25 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 2. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD. LAL.................2. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....49. MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. EAST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR. LAL.................3. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....72. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. EAST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO SOUTH AROUND 30 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. LAL.................5. CWR.................79 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...SCHECK REQUESTED BY...OSCAR KNUDTSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100412.NORTH.01/BIS