FNUS75 KBOU 121615 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SULLIVAN PARK WF...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1014 AM MDT MON APR 12 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE DURING THE MORNING... WITH THE AIRMASS BECOMING UNSTABLE BY 1200. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL MIX TO THE SURFACE DURING DURING THE AFTERNOON CREATING GUSTY WINDS AT -TIMES AT THE SITE. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ARE OVERNIGHT. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE EVENING... THEN A CHANCE FOR RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE STORMS. ON TUESDAY...COOLER AIR WILL BE OVER THE AREA WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE AIRMASS BECOMES UNSTABLE. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-68. MIN HUMIDITY........15-19%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH 9-13 MPH...WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-16 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL BY 1300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR...BECOMING GOOD BY 1200. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-44. MAX HUMIDITY........65-69%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 8-13 MPH. GUSTS TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR THE STORMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 7400 FT AGL... LOWERING TO 3000 FT AGL BY 2200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900....BECOMING POOR BY 2100. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60. MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5-9 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 8-12 MPH. GUSTS TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR THE STORMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 32-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 7400-8400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...BECOMING GOOD BY 0900...THEN VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SULLIVAN PARK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 04/12-09 70 0 50 37 SW 2 2 3 1 S24 323 SW 7 2037 P 04/12-10 70 0 54 31 SW 3 1 2962 SW 12 46624 F 04/12-11 70 0 60 25 S 7 1 5601 SW 15 91211 G 04/12-12 44 0 64 21 S 9 13 2 1 S26 8240 SW 18 135798 V 04/12-13 44 0 67 19 S 10 1 9608 SW 22 186024 E 04/12-14 44 0 68 19 SW 12 1 10976 S 24 236251 E 04/12-15 50 6 68 19 SW 12 15 2 1 S32 12345 S 26 286477 E 04/12-16 50 6 68 20 SW 12 1 11883 S 28 284631 E 04/12-17 50 6 68 21 SW 12 1 11421 S 29 282786 E 04/12-18 80 28 66 23 SW 12 17 2 2 S33 10959 S 30 280941 E 04/12-19 80 28 63 26 SW 10 2 7386 S 25 188414 E 04/12-20 80 28 59 31 SW 9 2 3813 S 21 95887 G 04/12-21 78 28 49 45 SW 8 10 2 2 S36 240 S 16 3361 P 04/12-22 78 28 46 52 SW 8 2 222 S 17 3292 P 04/12-23 78 28 44 56 SW 9 2 204 S 18 3223 P 04/13-00 76 28 42 59 SW 10 10 2 1 S45 185 S 20 3154 P 04/13-01 76 28 41 62 SW 9 1 199 SW 18 3194 P 04/13-02 76 28 40 65 SW 9 1 213 SW 17 3234 P 04/13-03 52 28 40 65 SW 8 8 2 1 S45 227 SW 16 3274 P 04/13-04 52 28 40 64 SW 9 1 588 SW 22 14069 P 04/13-05 52 28 40 63 W 9 1 950 SW 26 24863 P 04/13-06 52 20 42 57 W 9 9 2 1 S51 1311 SW 31 35657 P 04/13-07 52 20 43 56 W 6 1 2165 SW 33 64327 G 04/13-08 52 20 43 56 NW 3 1 3018 SW 35 92997 G 04/13-09 52 20 45 52 CALM 1 2 1 S71 3871 SW 36 121666 V 04/13-10 52 20 48 46 CALM 1 4962 SW 48 205648 E 04/13-11 52 20 50 41 CALM 1 5722 SW 45 220470 E 04/13-12 68 20 52 38 E 2 2 2 4 SW75 6482 SW 41 235292 E 04/13-13 68 20 53 37 SE 7 4 7228 SW 40 254287 E 04/13-14 68 20 54 36 S 12 4 7974 SW 39 273283 E 04/13-15 68 20 54 36 SW 16 25 2 4 SW76 8720 SW 39 292278 E 04/13-16 68 20 54 35 SW 18 4 8309 SW 37 268167 E 04/13-17 68 20 53 35 W 18 4 7898 SW 36 244055 E 04/13-18 52 20 50 36 W 18 30 2 1 S63 7487 SW 33 219944 E 04/13-19 52 20 49 35 W 20 1 6458 SW 35 190299 E 04/13-20 52 20 46 37 W 20 1 5429 SW 35 160655 E 04/13-21 52 20 42 41 W 18 30 2 1 S58 4400 SW 35 131011 V 04/13-22 52 20 39 43 W 14 1 4570 SW 31 123314 V 04/13-23 52 20 38 45 W 9 1 4740 SW 29 115616 V 04/14-00 31 5 36 47 W 6 6 2 1 S61 4910 W 25 107919 V 04/14-01 31 5 35 48 W 6 1 4893 W 25 109512 V 04/14-02 31 5 34 50 W 7 1 4877 W 26 111106 V 04/14-03 31 5 34 52 W 8 8 2 1 SW40 4861 W 26 112700 V 04/14-04 31 5 34 55 W 9 1 4798 W 28 113530 V 04/14-05 31 5 34 58 W 10 1 4735 W 28 114359 V 04/14-06 20 0 34 60 W 12 12 2 1 W14 4672 W 29 115189 V 04/14-07 20 0 35 60 W 12 1 5290 W 26 118310 V 04/14-08 20 0 38 53 W 13 1 5908 W 24 121431 V 04/14-09 20 0 42 46 W 13 13 3 1 W16 6525 W 22 124553 V 04/14-10 20 0 47 39 W 14 1 8150 W 20 135848 V 04/14-11 20 0 51 34 W 14 1 9775 W 18 147144 V 04/14-12 20 0 54 31 W 14 22 2 1 SW14 11400 W 16 158440 E 04/14-13 20 0 56 28 W 13 1 11178 W 16 159241 E 04/14-14 20 0 58 27 SW 10 1 10956 W 17 160043 E 04/14-15 20 0 59 26 SW 9 9 2 1 W25 10734 W 17 160845 E 04/14-16 20 0 59 25 SW 9 1 10255 SW 17 156867 E 04/14-17 20 0 58 24 SW 10 1 9775 SW 18 152890 E 04/14-18 58 0 55 26 SW 10 10 2 1 W25 9296 SW 18 148912 V 04/14-19 58 0 54 28 W 10 1 7675 SW 17 120241 V 04/14-20 58 0 50 34 W 9 1 6055 SW 17 91570 G 04/14-21 58 0 46 41 W 9 9 3 1 W29 4435 SW 16 62899 G 04/14-22 58 0 43 47 W 9 1 3305 SW 14 44287 F 04/14-23 58 0 42 51 W 10 1 2174 S 10 25674 P 04/15-00 58 0 40 54 W 10 10 2 1 SW36 1044 S 8 7062 P 04/15-01 58 0 39 57 W 10 1 883 S 8 5847 P 04/15-02 58 0 38 59 W 10 1 722 SW 7 4632 P 04/15-03 58 0 38 60 W 10 10 3 1 W38 561 SW 7 3417 P 04/15-04 58 0 37 60 W 10 1 539 SW 7 3330 P 04/15-05 58 0 37 58 W 10 1 516 W 7 3244 P 04/15-06 57 0 38 56 W 10 10 3 1 W37 494 W 7 3157 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...LESZCYNSKI...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...SCOTT MOLINARI REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100412.SULLI.01/BOU