FNUS72 KMHX 121311 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR A2...USFWS ALLIGATOR RIVER NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 911 AM EDT MON APR 12 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH TUESDAY BEFORE ANOTHER BACKDOOR FRONT SLIDES SOUTH OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS TO THE REGION THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............20 27 33 35 35 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................56 64 67 69 67 MIN HUMIDITY........77 58 50 45 49 20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 2 NW 5 NE 7 NE 9 NE 10 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 15 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............34 34 33 31 30 30 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................66 60 57 55 53 52 MIN HUMIDITY........52 67 75 80 86 89 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 10 NE 9 NE 9 NE 9 NE 8 NE 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 2400 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 14 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............30 30 35 41 45 50 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................50 52 57 62 65 65 MIN HUMIDITY........96 86 69 58 50 50 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 8 NE 9 NE 10 NE 12 NE 14 E 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...AUSTIN REQUESTED BY...AMY MIDGETT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100412.A2___.01/MHX