FNUS73 KMPX 121039
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAHN LAKE WPA...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
539 AM CDT MON APR 12 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE BURN SITE
BETWEEN 730 AND 830 AM CDT THIS MORNING. RAIN AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE A TENTH
OF AN INCH OR LESS WITH A SMALL CHANCE OF UP TO ABOUT A QUARTER OF AN INCH IF A
HEAVIER THUNDERSTORM CAN MOVE OVER THE SITE BUT THIS IS A LOW PROBABILITY
SCENARIO. SHOWER AND ISOLATED THUNDER ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE
MORNING WITH BEST COVERAGE SHIFTING TO JUST NORTH OF THE BURN SITE AROUND OR SOON
AFTER IGNITION TIME. CANNOT RULE OUT ADDITIONAL SHOWERS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
BUT THINK THAT THE FOCUS WILL BE JUST TO THE NORTH. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MID AFTERNOON BEFORE SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER 4 PM CDT OR SO.
SLIGHT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN OVERNIGHT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
                    THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
                    TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10
                    MPH BECOMING EAST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3700-29200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1900-2400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 14 TO 23 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............49     57     63     66     67     65
RH..............61     49     44     43     43     48
20 FT WIND......SE 9   SE 9   SE 9   SE 8   SE 7   E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      5      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3300-21200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 17 TO 22 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3500-50400) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (215500-231100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200-8900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 18 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 29
                    TO 35 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...BARDOU
REQUESTED BY...JAMI MARKLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100412.HAHNL.01/MPX