FNUS75 KBOU 131538 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR PEAK SAR...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 938 AM MDT TUE APR 13 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACCOMPANIED BY A STRONG SURFACE LOW WILL BE MOVING OVER NORTHERN COLORADO AND WYOMING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME WESTERLY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AFTER PASSAGE OF THE UPPER TROUGH. A BAND OF MOISTURE WITH THE UPPER TROUGH WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON. AS WINDS SWITCH TO WESTERLY...SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO THE EVENING. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT. MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ALOFT ARE EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE GETTING COLDER THROUGH TODAY AFTER PASSAGE OF THE UPPER TROUGH. SOME WARMING IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY, ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-35. MIN HUMIDITY........50-60%. WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST 25-31 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH...BECOMING MORE WESTERLY AFTER 1500. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 40-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-7200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....16-24. MAX HUMIDITY........75-85%. WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. WEST WINDS 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-7200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 2600-3400 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. GOOD AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-42. MIN HUMIDITY........25-35%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 13-23 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0800...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TAYLOR PEAK SAR. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 04/13-09 81 40 27 53 W 12 12 3 2 S96 3605 SW 46 144806 V 04/13-10 81 40 28 50 SW 8 2 4072 SW 46 164016 E 04/13-11 81 40 28 50 S 7 2 4538 SW 46 183227 E 04/13-12 74 60 29 52 SE 8 8 3 1 S104 5004 SW 46 202437 E 04/13-13 74 60 29 52 S 14 1 5757 SW 46 228982 E 04/13-14 74 60 29 52 SW 21 1 6509 SW 45 255526 E 04/13-15 74 60 29 51 SW 26 43 2 1 S84 7262 SW 45 282071 E 04/13-16 74 60 29 50 W 29 1 7213 SW 41 263456 E 04/13-17 74 60 29 49 W 29 1 7165 W 39 244840 E 04/13-18 72 30 27 50 W 28 44 2 1 SW58 7116 W 37 226224 E 04/13-19 72 30 27 51 W 28 1 6114 W 36 189889 E 04/13-20 72 30 25 53 W 26 1 5113 W 35 153553 E 04/13-21 72 30 23 57 W 26 43 2 1 SW68 4111 W 33 117217 V 04/13-22 72 30 22 58 W 25 1 3754 W 32 105613 V 04/13-23 72 30 22 58 W 24 1 3397 W 32 94010 G 04/14-00 53 10 21 57 W 23 37 2 1 SW77 3040 W 31 82406 G 04/14-01 53 10 21 57 W 23 1 2920 W 30 77035 G 04/14-02 53 10 20 57 W 24 1 2801 W 30 71665 G 04/14-03 53 10 20 57 W 24 39 2 1 SW77 2681 W 29 66294 G 04/14-04 53 10 20 61 W 23 1 2683 W 29 65777 G 04/14-05 53 10 20 65 W 22 1 2685 W 28 65260 G 04/14-06 41 0 20 67 W 21 33 2 1 SW74 2688 W 28 64743 G 04/14-07 41 0 20 65 W 21 1 3272 W 28 79243 G 04/14-08 41 0 23 55 W 21 1 3856 W 28 93742 G 04/14-09 41 0 26 46 SW 22 35 2 1 W68 4440 W 28 108242 V 04/14-10 41 0 30 37 SW 21 1 4984 W 28 117236 V 04/14-11 41 0 33 32 SW 18 1 5312 W 26 119991 V 04/14-12 41 0 36 29 SW 16 25 5 1 W48 5640 SW 25 122745 V 04/14-13 41 0 38 28 SW 15 1 5699 SW 24 118325 V 04/14-14 41 0 39 29 SW 15 1 5758 SW 23 113905 V 04/14-15 41 0 39 30 SW 14 22 4 1 W40 5817 SW 22 109484 V 04/14-16 41 0 39 29 SW 13 1 5378 SW 21 95459 G 04/14-17 41 0 38 27 SW 12 1 4939 SW 18 81433 G 04/14-18 35 0 36 27 SW 9 16 5 1 W33 4500 SW 17 67407 G 04/14-19 35 0 35 29 1 3343 SW 15 47810 F 04/14-20 35 0 32 34 1 2186 SW 13 28213 P 04/14-21 35 0 28 40 S 5 16 5 1 W31 1029 S 9 8616 P 04/14-22 35 0 26 45 1 791 S 8 6147 P 04/14-23 35 0 24 48 1 553 S 6 3679 P 04/15-00 35 0 23 50 S 6 6 5 1 W30 315 S 5 1210 P 04/15-01 35 0 23 51 1 269 S 5 1113 P 04/15-02 35 0 23 51 1 222 SW 6 1015 P 04/15-03 35 0 23 50 SW 9 7 5 1 W22 175 SW 6 918 P 04/15-04 35 0 23 48 1 171 SW 6 894 P 04/15-05 35 0 23 46 1 167 SW 6 871 P 04/15-06 49 0 23 45 W 7 7 6 1 SW12 162 SW 6 847 P 04/15-07 49 0 23 47 1 227 SW 5 773 P 04/15-08 49 0 23 48 1 292 SW 3 698 P 04/15-09 49 0 26 44 SW 5 2 5 1 SW12 357 SW 2 623 P 04/15-10 49 0 29 38 1 770 SW 2 2332 P 04/15-11 49 0 32 33 1 1183 SW 3 4041 P 04/15-12 65 0 34 30 SW 5 3 5 1 SW14 1597 SW 5 5750 P 04/15-13 65 0 36 28 1 1840 SW 5 7089 P 04/15-14 65 0 37 28 1 2083 SW 5 8427 P 04/15-15 65 0 38 28 SW 3 5 4 1 SW13 2327 SW 5 9766 P 04/15-16 65 0 38 28 1 2136 S 3 6720 P 04/15-17 65 0 37 28 1 1944 S 2 3673 P 04/15-18 68 0 36 30 SE 3 1 4 1 SW13 1753 CALM 626 P 04/15-19 68 0 35 33 1 1323 CALM 855 P 04/15-20 68 0 32 38 1 893 E 2 1083 P 04/15-21 68 0 30 44 SE 7 2 4 1 SW10 462 E 3 1312 P 04/15-22 68 0 28 47 1 425 E 3 1200 P 04/15-23 68 0 27 49 1 387 SE 3 1089 P 04/16-00 68 0 26 51 SE 9 1 4 1 SW 8 349 SE 3 977 P 04/16-01 68 0 25 52 1 300 SE 3 795 P 04/16-02 68 0 25 53 1 252 SE 2 614 P 04/16-03 68 0 24 53 SE 7 2 4 1 S 9 203 SE 2 432 P 04/16-04 68 0 24 51 1 193 SE 2 362 P 04/16-05 68 0 24 48 1 184 SE 2 291 P 04/16-06 68 10 25 46 CALM 1 4 1 SW12 174 CALM 221 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ROCKY MTN NATL PARK REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20100413.TAYLO.01/BOU