FNUS71 KRNK 122117 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH SHORT MOUNTAIN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 517 PM EDT MON APR 12 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA WILL MOVE BACK NORTH OF THE REGION TUESDAY AS A WARM FRONT. THERE WILL BE INCREASING HUMIDITY DURING THE DAY TUESDAY...THEN THE WARM FRONT WILL MOVE BACK SOUTH AND THROUGH THE REGION AS A STRONGER COLD FRONT TUESDAY NIGHT. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY MOVE ALONG THE FRONT AS IT SINKS SOUTHWARD TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND THESE MAY AFFECT NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. MUCH COOLER HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD DOWN THE EAST COAST WEDNESDAY. THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVES OFFSHORE THURSDAY...AND BRING A WARMING TREND INTO INTO FRIDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION AFTER THE BACK DOOR FRONT THURSDAY EVENING...WILL BE ANOTHER COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............20 11 4 9 25 32 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................68 62 57 53 50 47 MIN HUMIDITY........33 38 45 53 60 63 WIND (20 FT)........N 3 NE 2 NE 2 E 2 E 2 SE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING WEST 12 TO 18 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............40 49 63 76 83 81 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................44 46 53 59 63 65 MIN HUMIDITY........70 70 57 49 44 41 WIND (20 FT)........S 1 SW 1 S 3 S 5 SW 6 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 15 15 10 CWR.................0 0 0 20 20 40 .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43. MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH...THEN BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. CWR (0.01 IN).......40 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 12 TO 16 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............82 91 89 86 84 82 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................65 60 56 52 50 48 MIN HUMIDITY........45 59 67 73 76 81 WIND (20 FT)........NW 3 E 4 E 5 NE 5 N 2 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 15 5 5 CWR.................40 50 50 50 20 20 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............80 77 71 64 57 50 WEATHER COV.........S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................45 46 51 55 57 59 MIN HUMIDITY........88 85 70 60 54 50 WIND (20 FT)........SE 2 S 2 W 2 W 2 SW 2 N 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 CWR.................20 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...HUDGINS REQUESTED BY...STEVE SMESTAD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100413.NORTH.01/RNK