FNUS75 KBOU 132112 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR NOTT CREEK UNIT 7 RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 252 PM MDT TUE APR 13 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE FLOW ALOFT ON WEDNESDAY WILL WEAKEN AS THE UPPER LOW WILL MOVE WELL NORTH OF THE STATE AND A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST. THE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH A SOUTHWEST TO WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE AREA. SMOKE DISPERSAL IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY GOOD BY THE AFTERNOON WITH A FAIRLY DEEP MIXING LAYER AND DECENT WIND SPEEDS AS WELL. WITH THE FLOW ALOFT DECREASING ON WEDNESDAY...THE SURFACE SOUTHEASTERLY UPSLOPE WINDS SHOULD PREVAIL IN THE AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....55. MIN HUMIDITY........20%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-18 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY (SOUTHEAST) 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6800-7800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....40. MAX HUMIDITY........35%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....58. MIN HUMIDITY........24%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8800-9800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR NOTT CREEK UNIT 7 RX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 04/13-14 61 10 53 20 W 16 1 11971 SW 41 429887 E 04/13-15 57 10 53 19 W 16 25 3 1 S56 13266 SW 39 449052 E 04/13-16 57 10 53 18 W 16 1 12533 SW 38 420311 E 04/13-17 57 10 52 19 W 15 1 11801 SW 38 391570 E 04/13-18 58 0 50 20 W 15 24 2 1 SW55 11068 W 38 362828 E 04/13-19 58 0 49 21 W 15 1 9560 W 35 296049 E 04/13-20 58 0 46 23 W 15 1 8051 W 31 229270 E 04/13-21 58 0 43 26 W 15 24 3 1 SW51 6543 W 29 162490 E 04/13-22 58 0 41 29 W 14 1 5726 W 28 138285 V 04/13-23 58 0 39 31 W 14 1 4909 W 26 114080 V 04/14-00 34 0 38 34 W 13 13 3 1 SW63 4092 W 25 89875 G 04/14-01 34 0 37 36 W 12 1 3529 W 23 72306 G 04/14-02 34 0 37 38 W 12 1 2967 W 21 54738 F 04/14-03 25 0 36 39 W 12 12 2 1 SW64 2405 W 17 37169 P 04/14-04 25 0 36 39 W 14 1 2411 SW 16 32748 P 04/14-05 25 0 36 38 W 16 1 2418 SW 14 28328 P 04/14-06 13 0 36 36 W 17 28 3 1 SW59 2424 SW 12 23907 P 04/14-07 13 0 37 35 W 16 1 3263 SW 13 37302 P 04/14-08 13 0 39 32 SW 13 1 4103 SW 14 50696 F 04/14-09 23 0 42 29 SW 10 10 3 1 SW53 4942 SW 15 64091 G 04/14-10 23 0 45 25 SW 9 1 5419 SW 16 77089 G 04/14-11 23 0 48 23 SW 8 1 5895 SW 17 90086 G 04/14-12 34 0 50 22 S 7 7 2 1 SW45 6372 SW 18 103084 V 04/14-13 34 0 52 21 S 7 1 6931 SW 18 112865 V 04/14-14 34 0 53 20 S 7 1 7490 SW 18 122646 V 04/14-15 36 0 54 20 S 7 7 2 1 SW40 8050 SW 18 132427 V 04/14-16 36 0 54 20 S 6 1 7819 SW 17 118515 V 04/14-17 36 0 53 20 SW 5 1 7588 SW 16 104603 V 04/14-18 35 0 52 21 SW 3 3 3 1 SW36 7358 SW 14 90691 G 04/14-19 35 0 51 22 W 3 1 5277 W 10 61349 G 04/14-20 35 0 48 25 N 3 1 3196 N 7 32007 P 04/14-21 35 0 46 29 N 3 3 3 1 W33 1115 N 2 2664 P 04/14-22 35 0 44 31 N 3 1 850 N 3 2127 P 04/14-23 35 0 43 33 NW 2 1 585 NW 3 1591 P 04/15-00 35 0 42 34 NW 2 2 3 1 W29 320 NW 3 1054 P 04/15-01 35 0 42 35 W 2 1 305 W 5 1086 P 04/15-02 35 0 41 35 W 3 1 289 W 5 1118 P 04/15-03 35 0 41 34 SW 3 3 3 1 W20 274 SW 5 1151 P 04/15-04 35 0 40 33 W 3 1 333 W 5 1334 P 04/15-05 35 0 40 32 W 3 1 392 W 5 1517 P 04/15-06 51 0 41 32 W 3 3 3 1 SW15 451 W 5 1700 P 04/15-07 51 0 41 32 NW 3 1 1205 W 3 3742 P 04/15-08 51 0 43 31 NW 3 1 1958 W 3 5783 P 04/15-09 51 0 46 30 NW 3 3 3 1 SW15 2711 W 3 7825 P 04/15-10 51 0 49 28 NW 3 1 4287 W 6 29379 P 04/15-11 51 0 51 27 NW 2 1 5863 W 8 50932 F 04/15-12 57 10 53 26 NW 2 2 3 2 SW18 7439 W 12 72485 G 04/15-13 57 10 55 25 N 2 2 8409 W 12 82621 G 04/15-14 57 10 56 24 NE 2 2 9379 SW 12 92757 G 04/15-15 57 10 56 24 E 2 2 3 2 SW20 10350 SW 12 102892 V 04/15-16 57 10 56 24 E 3 2 9525 SW 10 85326 G 04/15-17 57 10 55 24 E 3 2 8700 SW 9 67760 G 04/15-18 62 10 53 26 E 5 5 3 2 SW24 7875 SW 7 50194 F 04/15-19 62 10 51 27 E 5 2 5497 S 7 34599 P 04/15-20 62 10 48 30 E 5 2 3118 SE 6 19004 P 04/15-21 62 10 44 33 E 5 5 3 2 W21 739 E 6 3409 P 04/15-22 62 10 42 36 E 6 2 671 E 6 3499 P 04/15-23 62 10 40 37 E 7 2 603 E 7 3589 P 04/16-00 62 10 39 38 E 7 7 3 1 W20 536 E 8 3679 P 04/16-01 62 10 38 40 E 6 1 507 E 6 2846 P 04/16-02 62 10 37 41 SE 5 1 478 SE 5 2013 P 04/16-03 62 10 37 42 SE 3 3 3 1 W13 449 S 3 1180 P 04/16-04 62 10 36 43 S 3 1 440 S 3 1516 P 04/16-05 62 10 36 43 S 5 1 431 S 5 1852 P 04/16-06 68 20 37 43 S 6 6 3 1 W 8 422 S 6 2188 P 04/16-07 68 20 38 43 S 7 1 607 S 7 3907 P 04/16-08 68 20 38 44 S 7 1 792 S 8 5627 P 04/16-09 68 20 39 42 S 8 8 3 1 SW 8 977 S 9 7346 P 04/16-10 68 20 41 40 S 9 1 1616 S 10 15284 P 04/16-11 68 20 43 38 SE 9 1 2255 S 12 23223 P 04/16-12 71 27 44 37 SE 9 9 3 4 SW12 2894 S 13 31161 P 04/16-13 71 27 45 35 SE 9 4 3212 S 12 31716 P 04/16-14 71 27 46 34 SE 9 4 3531 S 10 32271 P 04/16-15 71 27 46 33 SE 8 8 3 4 W13 3849 S 10 32826 P 04/16-16 71 27 46 33 SE 7 4 3541 S 10 30262 P 04/16-17 71 27 45 33 SE 6 4 3233 S 10 27698 P 04/16-18 76 30 44 34 SE 5 5 3 2 W13 2924 S 10 25134 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ALLEN GALLAMORE REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100414.NOTTC.01/BOU