FNUS71 KBUF 141052 FWSBUF SPOT FORECAST FOR FT DRUM RX...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 652 AM EDT WED APR 14 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK WILL PROVIDE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES TODAY. LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME WESTERLY BY MID TO LATE MORNING. LOW DEWPOINTS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARMER TEMPS WILL PROVIDE GOOD DRYING AFTER AN OVERNIGHT FROST. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT BETWEEN 2PM AND 5PM. 20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 5 MPH AROUND DAYBREAK...BECOMING WEST 9 TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...PERSISTING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. SMOKE DISPERSION....MAX 82 (GOOD). TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................54 57 59 59 60 61 60 MIN HUMIDITY........30 25 23 21 20 21 22 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......6 8 10 12 12 13 13 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 15 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 SMK DISPERSION......67 77 75 71 77 82 78 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (5 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37. MAX HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 0 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH LATE. SMOKE DISPERSION....MIN 0 (POOR). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 4 5 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................57 54 51 48 46 44 42 40 39 39 38 39 MIN HUMIDITY........25 29 35 39 42 45 49 53 57 59 60 62 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......12 10 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 6 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 SMK DISPERSION......55 27 6 0 0 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (25 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (65 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSION....MAX 32 (FAIR). TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............23 58 46 46 51 55 61 67 69 78 86 92 WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH SCH CHC WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW TEMP................39 41 43 45 48 51 54 56 59 61 62 63 MIN HUMIDITY........63 63 63 58 52 46 43 41 39 37 36 36 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW W W W W W SW SE E 20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 5 6 7 7 7 6 5 2 1 1 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 5 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SMK DISPERSION......0 0 2 7 18 30 32 29 24 17 12 11 $$ FORECASTER...WCH REQUESTED BY...CHRIS SCHOW TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100414.FTDRU.01/BUF