FNUS71 KCTP 141018 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR RANGE 36...PA ARNG NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 618 AM EDT WED APR 14 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHED ACROSS THE REGION WILL PROVIDE ABUNDANT SUNSHINE...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND...AND MILDER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 60S TODAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING WILL BE BETWEEN 30 AND 35 PERCENT ACROSS THE BURN AREA. FINE FUEL MOISTURE WILL BE IN THE 10 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE TODAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT TODAY LIMITING FIRE SPREAD. WINDS WILL BECOME WESTERLY AND INCREASE TO BETWEEN 7 AND 10 MPH ON THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL SLIDE TO THE EAST AND BRING VARYING AMOUNTS OF MAINLY MID LEVEL CLOUDS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH JUST A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING INCREASING WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AND A GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS AND MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL FOLLOW FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING SUNNY. AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING. AREAS OF DENSE FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 6 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............42 23 14 14 14 14 13 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................52 55 57 59 61 62 62 MIN HUMIDITY........51 46 41 38 35 34 33 20 FT WIND DIR......NE E SE SE S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......6 5 5 5 5 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... TRANSP WIND DIR.E E S S S SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....5 3 2 2 3 5 6 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............13 12 12 13 14 16 17 19 20 21 23 25 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................61 59 57 55 53 52 51 50 49 48 46 45 MIN HUMIDITY........35 38 43 46 49 52 54 56 59 62 66 71 20 FT WIND DIR......S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......6 5 3 3 3 3 3 5 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....7 8 9 10 12 13 13 13 12 13 13 14 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............28 29 39 42 45 48 51 54 56 56 57 58 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................44 42 48 52 56 59 62 66 69 72 72 70 MIN HUMIDITY........75 79 63 57 50 46 42 38 35 32 33 37 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....14 15 15 15 14 13 12 10 10 10 12 13 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...LAMBERT REQUESTED BY...SHANNON HENRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100414.RANGE.02/CTP