FNUS76 KMFR 141358
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCOTT BAR MT...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
658 AM PDT WED APR 14 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 PDT ON APRIL 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE OFF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST ALONG
WITH A DISTURBANCE MOVING OVER THE BURN AREA THIS AFTERNOON
COULD LEAD TO INSTABILITY SHOWERS. A FEW OF THOSE SHOWERS COULD
PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WITH SMALL HAIL POSSIBLE LATE
THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. SHOWERS MOVE NORTH AND
DECREASE EARLY THIS EVENING WITH DRY CONDITIONS TONIGHT. AT THIS
-TIME THURSDAY LOOKS DRY. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL BRING THE
POTENTIAL FOR MORE SHOWERS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS. A FEW MODERATE TO
                    HEAVY SHOWERS WITH SMALL HAIL POSSIBLE AFTER
                    3 PM PDT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-61.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WIND IN THE MORNING. SOUTH 2-5 MPG IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. HOWEVER WINDS DIRECTION COULD BE ERRATIC
                    WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15 MPH IF A HEAVY SHOWER
                    IS NEAR THE BURN AREA.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9500-10000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 6-13 MPH. BECOMING SOUTH TO
                    SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...JOE BOGGS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100414.SCOTT.01/MFR