FNUS75 KBOU 151211 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR NOTT CREEK UNIT 3 RX...CSFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 611 AM MDT THU APR 15 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS EARLY THIS MORNING. THE WIND SHOULD MAINTAIN AN UPSLOPE COMPONENT THROUGH THE DAY...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING EARLY THIS EVENING THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR OR A COUPLE OF DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY...MINIMUM HUMIDITIES SHOULD BE 5-10 PERCENT WETTER. COOLER TEMPERATURES AND A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IS EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY. SMOKE DISPERSION SHOULD BE GOOD TODAY...ONLY REACHING FAIR TOMORROW AS COOLER AIR SETTLES IN AT LOWER LEVELS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-58. MIN HUMIDITY........30%. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8000-8600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40. MAX HUMIDITY........63%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 2400...THEN EAST AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7600-8600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 2600-2800 FT AGL AFTER 0300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. MAX TEMPERATURE.....46. MIN HUMIDITY........56%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW UNTIL 0600... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0600. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR NOTT CREEK UNIT 3 RX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 04/15-03 18 0 40 40 NW 7 7 3 1 W35 317 N 5 1202 P 04/15-04 18 0 40 41 NW 7 1 347 NW 5 1320 P 04/15-05 18 0 40 41 W 7 1 377 NW 5 1437 P 04/15-06 22 0 40 45 W 8 8 3 1 SW24 312 NW 7 1812 P 04/15-07 22 0 42 43 NW 7 1 1147 NW 6 4222 P 04/15-08 22 0 44 41 N 5 1 1982 W 5 6632 P 04/15-09 22 0 47 38 NE 3 3 2 1 SW24 2818 W 3 9042 P 04/15-10 22 0 50 35 NE 3 1 4570 W 7 33768 P 04/15-11 22 0 53 32 NE 5 1 6322 W 9 58495 F 04/15-12 56 0 56 30 E 6 6 3 1 SW25 8074 W 12 83222 G 04/15-13 56 0 57 30 E 6 1 8252 W 12 80966 G 04/15-14 56 0 58 30 E 6 1 8429 SW 10 78711 G 04/15-15 56 7 58 31 E 6 6 3 1 SW25 8606 SW 10 76455 G 04/15-16 56 7 58 31 E 6 1 8609 SW 9 66265 G 04/15-17 56 7 57 31 E 6 1 8613 SW 8 56075 F 04/15-18 74 20 56 32 E 6 6 3 3 SW28 8616 SW 6 45886 F 04/15-19 74 20 54 35 E 6 3 7425 S 6 35765 P 04/15-20 74 20 51 40 E 5 3 6235 SE 5 25645 P 04/15-21 74 20 49 44 E 5 5 2 1 SW26 5044 E 3 15524 P 04/15-22 74 20 47 48 E 6 1 4624 E 6 20046 P 04/15-23 74 20 46 50 E 6 1 4204 E 7 24569 P 04/16-00 72 18 45 52 E 7 7 2 1 W22 3784 E 9 29091 P 04/16-01 72 18 44 55 NE 7 1 3474 E 9 28387 P 04/16-02 72 18 43 58 N 6 1 3164 E 10 27683 P 04/16-03 72 18 43 60 N 5 5 2 1 W14 2854 E 10 26980 P 04/16-04 72 18 42 61 N 3 1 2764 SE 12 26695 P 04/16-05 72 18 41 61 N 3 1 2673 SE 12 26410 P 04/16-06 77 30 42 59 SE 9 9 3 1 W10 1966 SE 12 18757 P 04/16-07 77 30 42 59 SE 8 1 2200 SE 10 18907 P 04/16-08 77 30 42 62 E 7 1 2433 SE 9 19057 P 04/16-09 77 30 42 61 E 6 6 3 1 W 8 2667 SE 8 19207 P 04/16-10 77 30 43 60 SE 7 1 2948 S 10 28457 P 04/16-11 77 30 44 58 SE 9 1 3229 S 13 37707 P 04/16-12 77 30 45 58 S 10 10 3 1 SW 8 3510 S 15 46956 F 04/16-13 77 30 45 57 S 12 1 3579 S 15 47813 F 04/16-14 77 30 46 56 S 12 1 3649 S 15 48671 F 04/16-15 77 30 46 56 S 12 12 3 1 W 9 3718 S 15 49528 F 04/16-16 77 30 46 56 S 12 1 3564 S 16 49896 F 04/16-17 77 30 46 57 S 12 1 3409 S 17 50264 F 04/16-18 72 30 45 59 S 12 12 3 1 W 6 3255 S 18 50633 F 04/16-19 72 30 44 60 S 12 1 3058 S 16 44590 F 04/16-20 72 30 43 61 SE 10 1 2860 S 15 38547 P 04/16-21 72 30 42 63 SE 10 10 3 1 S 3 2663 S 14 32503 P 04/16-22 72 30 41 65 S 10 1 2473 S 14 29611 P 04/16-23 72 30 41 66 S 9 1 2283 S 14 26719 P 04/17-00 72 30 40 66 S 9 9 3 1 SE10 2093 S 13 23827 P 04/17-01 72 30 40 66 S 9 1 1968 S 14 23325 P 04/17-02 72 30 40 66 S 10 1 1843 S 14 22824 P 04/17-03 72 30 40 66 S 10 10 3 1 S16 1718 S 15 22322 P 04/17-04 72 30 40 65 S 10 1 1628 S 14 19267 P 04/17-05 72 30 40 63 S 9 1 1538 S 12 16212 P 04/17-06 76 20 40 60 S 9 9 3 1 S10 1448 S 10 13158 P 04/17-07 76 20 40 57 S 9 1 1628 S 10 15520 P 04/17-08 76 20 41 53 S 9 1 1807 S 12 17882 P 04/17-09 76 20 42 49 S 9 9 2 1 S14 1987 S 12 20244 P 04/17-10 76 20 44 46 S 10 1 2449 S 13 26423 P 04/17-11 76 20 45 44 SE 10 1 2912 S 13 32602 P 04/17-12 76 20 46 42 SE 12 12 2 1 S17 3374 S 13 38782 P 04/17-13 76 20 47 40 SE 12 1 3435 S 13 38412 P 04/17-14 76 20 48 38 SE 12 1 3495 S 13 38043 P 04/17-15 76 20 48 36 SE 10 10 2 1 S21 3556 SE 13 37674 P 04/17-16 76 20 48 35 SE 9 1 2562 SE 12 26519 P 04/17-17 76 20 48 34 SE 9 1 1569 SE 9 15365 P 04/17-18 77 10 46 34 SE 8 8 2 1 S23 575 SE 8 4211 P 04/17-19 77 10 46 35 SE 7 1 04/17-20 77 10 44 38 SE 7 1 04/17-21 77 10 42 41 SE 6 6 1 04/17-22 77 10 41 44 SE 6 1 04/17-23 77 10 40 45 S 6 1 04/18-00 77 10 40 46 SW 6 6 1 04/18-01 77 10 39 46 SW 6 1 04/18-02 77 10 39 46 SW 7 1 04/18-03 77 10 38 46 SW 7 7 1 04/18-04 77 10 38 45 W 8 1 04/18-05 77 10 38 45 W 9 1 04/18-06 64 10 38 44 W 9 9 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ALLEN GALLAMORE REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100415.NOTTC.01/BOU