FNUS71 KBUF 151242 FWSBUF SPOT FORECAST FOR IROQUOIS NWR Q AND N FILEDS...FWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 842 AM EDT THU APR 15 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0855 EDT ON APRIL 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHING ALONG THE SPINE OF THE APPALACHIANS WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SOUTHEASTWARD TODAY WHILE A WARM FRONT GROWS ACROSS EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. THIS WILL RESULT IN A SOUTHWEST FLOW OF WARM AIR TODAY AND A VERY MILD OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT TRAILING LOW PRESSURE MOVING TOWARD JAMES BAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS OUR REGION LATE FRIDAY. SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO PRECEDE AND ACCOMPANY THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT. NOTICEABLY COOLER AND UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL FOLLOW FOR THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSION....MAX 30 (FAIR). TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............33 34 37 40 42 45 47 44 38 33 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................47 52 57 62 65 68 70 71 72 71 MIN HUMIDITY........59 55 48 40 36 34 34 34 34 35 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 5 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SMK DISPERSION......1 3 6 9 16 24 30 28 23 18 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSION....MIN 2 (POOR). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............27 21 19 19 21 23 24 26 27 33 44 49 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................69 67 64 62 59 58 56 56 55 55 55 55 MIN HUMIDITY........38 41 46 51 57 62 64 66 67 70 73 77 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......8 7 7 8 8 9 9 8 8 9 10 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 SMK DISPERSION......12 7 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH...INCREASING TO 21 TO 28 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSION....MAX 92 (GOOD). TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............61 84 76 78 81 85 89 92 94 94 95 95 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP................55 56 57 59 62 64 64 64 63 62 61 60 MIN HUMIDITY........77 76 74 69 65 61 61 63 64 65 66 66 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......13 13 13 15 16 17 18 18 17 16 14 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SMK DISPERSION......3 4 6 9 13 22 45 74 92 73 42 19 $$ FORECASTER...SFM REQUESTED BY...PAUL HESS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100415.IROQU.01/BUF