FNUS73 KDDC 151102 FWSDDC SPOT FORECAST FOR PILES AND CATTAILS...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 602 AM CDT THU APR 15 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CDT ON APRIL 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AS AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE MOVES THROUGH SOUTHWEST KANSAS TODAY, SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CROSS FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST. THIS AFTERNOON, AFTER THE SURFACE HEATS UP, A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM. THESE STORMS WILL ISOLATED IN NATURE. A COLD FRONT WILL DIVE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT, BRINGING MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTHWEST KANSAS, AND CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY. WHILE MOIST CONDITIONS WILL HOLD THE RISK OF WILDFIRES DOWN, SOUTH WINDS AT 15 TO 25 MPH WILL FUEL ANY FIRES WHICH DO IGNITE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CWR.................30 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-5700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 31 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 39 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........71 77 82 87 94 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............62 67 71 73 74 RH..............67 59 53 51 51 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 12 S 13 S 13 S 13 20 FT WIND GUST.20 30 30 25 25 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 10 S 12 S 13 S 13 S 13 WIND GUST..20 30 30 25 25 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................60 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 26 TO 33 MPH DECREASING TO 14 TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 10 TO 13 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 14 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........99 99 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............72 65 61 59 57 55 RH..............55 70 81 83 86 93 20 FT WIND......S 11 S 9 S 6 S 4 SE 3 E 4 20 FT WIND GUST.25 20 15 15 10 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 11 S 9 S 6 S 4 SE 3 E 4 WIND GUST..25 20 15 15 10 5 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................60 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900-5100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 16 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 28 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........100 92 82 74 73 71 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............54 56 59 61 63 63 RH..............90 80 72 65 58 56 20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 6 NE 8 NE 9 NE 9 NE 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 20 25 25 20 EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 5 NE 6 NE 8 NE 9 NE 9 NE 8 WIND GUST..10 10 20 25 25 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 4 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...BURKE REQUESTED BY...WILLIAM WALN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100415.PILES.01/DDC