FNUS73 KJKL 162237
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR CLAY LICK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
637 PM EDT FRI APR 16 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1807 EDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...GUSTY WINDS THID EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT
DROPS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREAS. THIS WILL LEAD TO RISING HUMIDITY
AND SLACKENING WINDS BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...ENDING NEAR CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS. SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM ARE ANTICIPATED TO
TO MOVE INTO THE AREA BY AROUND 2200 THIS EVENING. SHOWERS SHOULD END
OVERNIGHT AND DRIER AIR WILL AGAIN RETURN AND LEAD TO RELATIVE HUMIDITY
DOWN BELOW 30 PERCENT ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN THE DOMINANT WEATHER MAKER BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH DRY WEATHER
EXPECTED FROM SATURDAY THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT FRIDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR LATE.
                    RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    ESPECIALLY FROM 2000 ON. THEN JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF A RAIN SHOWER LATE IN THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP 30 MPH...SHIFTING
                    TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 1900 AT 9 TO 12 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE THROUGH 2300. AFTER
                    2300...NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH...SHIFTING
                    TO THE NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH AROUND 1900 WITH
                    GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE THROUGH 2300. AFTER 2300...
                    NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
POP.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........87     90     81     75     27     10
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TEMP............71     65     61     56     51     45
RH..............43     58     69     77     81     90
20 FT WIND......WNW 9  NW 7   NW 6   NW 6   NW 5   NW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.26     13     12     10     10     5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      2      2      2

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    5 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH FROM
                    1000 ON.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15
                    MPH AROUND 1000.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST IN THE UPPER TEENS MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....106.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........8      8      8      8      8      9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............43     51     56     60     60     59
RH..............89     58     41     32     29     30
20 FT WIND......NW 3   NW 6   NW 8   NW 10  NW 12  NW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.5      15     15     20     25     15
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...PELTON
REQUESTED BY...JERRY WHEELESS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100416.CLAYL.01/JKL