FNUS71 KRNK 152214 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR CUBVILLE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 614 PM EDT THU APR 15 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER THE CAROLINAS TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST FRIDAY...BUT WILL NOT PASS THROUGH THE REGION UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY MORNING. THE WINDS WILL INCREASE AS A PRESSURE GRADIENT DEVELOPS BETWEEN THE DEPARTING HIGH TO OUR SOUTH AND THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION. AS A RESULT...WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. IN ADDITION...THE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN DRY...ESPECIALLY IN THE PIEDMONT AREAS WHERE DOWNSLOPING WINDS WILL PROMOTE FURTHER DRYING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO AROUND 25 PERCENT EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND PRESENT AN INCREASED FIRE DANGER. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...ARE EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THE PASSAGE OF THIS FRONT...BUT WILL BE CONFINED MAINLY TO THE MOUNTAINS...WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A QUARTER INCH OR LESS. THE WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG AND GUSTY SATURDAY BEHIND THE FRONT. NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA WILL HAVE RELATIVELY WARM TEMPERATURES AND LOWER HUMIDITIES...SO WILL STILL HAVE AN INCREASED FIRE DANGER. BEYOND THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT...THE WEATHER LOOKS COOL AND DRY THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEDNESDAY. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 16 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............16 14 9 5 0 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................73 67 64 61 58 57 MIN HUMIDITY........31 40 43 46 49 54 WIND (20 FT)........W 5 W 3 W 3 W 3 W 3 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 5 5 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY...BECOMING WEST 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO 28 TO 37 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............4 13 21 36 51 61 WEATHER COV......... ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP................55 56 62 67 70 72 MIN HUMIDITY........62 61 52 45 42 39 WIND (20 FT)........W 3 W 5 W 9 W 12 W 13 W 13 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 20 25 25 30 CWR.................0 10 10 10 10 20 .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43. MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CWR (0.01 IN).......60 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 29 TO 37 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 17 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 0 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...INCREASING TO WEST AROUND 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 39 TO 46 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............72 81 82 83 84 85 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................70 64 59 54 51 48 MIN HUMIDITY........40 51 60 67 71 73 WIND (20 FT)........W 11 W 9 W 8 W 8 W 9 W 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 20 20 20 20 25 CWR.................20 40 40 50 60 60 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH...INCREASING TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 37 TO 46 MPH...DECREASING TO 33 TO 36 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............82 76 74 72 70 65 WEATHER COV.........S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................45 44 47 50 51 52 MIN HUMIDITY........78 77 63 53 46 44 WIND (20 FT)........W 10 W 10 W 11 W 13 W 13 W 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 25 30 30 35 30 CWR.................20 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...HUDGINS REQUESTED BY...STEVE SMESTAD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100416.CUBVI.01/RNK