FNUS73 KAPX 181138 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR BRITTLE 4 10...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 738 AM EDT SUN APR 18 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON APRIL 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...OVERCAST SKIES EARLY THIS MORNING WILL LIFT INTO A SCATTERED CUMULUS BY MIDDAY...AIDED BY DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO THE BURN AREA...AND MIXING FROM THE APRIL SUN. NO WIND SHIFTS FOR SEEN DUE TO STEADY NORTHERLY FLOW AND LACK OF TERRAIN TO ALTER THE DIRECTION. MAYBE SOME GUSTS TO 15 MPH TODAY...BUT WINDS WILL TREND LIGHTER AS THE DAY WEARS ON. THE COOL TEMPS NOT EXCEEDING THE LOWER 50S WILL KEEP HUMIDITIES ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. SKIES CLEAR EARLY IN THE EVENING. SIDE NOTE...CANNOT GENERATE HOURLY PROJECTIONS. HOWEVER..AFTER PERUSING THE TABULAR DATA...WILL BE EASY TO FIGURE OUT BETWEEN THE 2 HOURLY DATA. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 55. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 17 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5000-6600 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (600) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (800). TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........81 48 48 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............47 51 53 RH..............49 41 35 20 FT WIND......N 6 N 7 N 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 SMOKE DISP......600 800 800 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....28. MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........33 0 0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............52 49 44 39 36 34 RH..............35 40 51 64 69 78 20 FT WIND......N 5 N 4 N 4 N 4 N 4 N 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....62. MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 5 5 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............33 36 46 54 57 59 RH..............82 72 49 36 31 29 20 FT WIND......N 4 N 4 N 5 N 6 N 6 N 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...SCOTT DICKSON REQUESTED BY...BEN EBY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100418.BRITT.01/APX