FNUS73 KAPX 181325 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH STAR...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 925 AM EDT SUN APR 18 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON APRIL 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE NOW IN THE PROCESS OF BUILDING ACROSS THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES TODAY. HOWEVER...ONE MORE BAND OF CLOUD COVER TO MOVE THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN THIS MORNING...BEFORE DAYTIME HEATING AND DRIER AIR BRINGS A CLEARING TREND TO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. OVERALL NORTH WINDS SUSTAINED AT 10 MPH OR LESS WILL PREVAIL...WITH A FEW GUSTS INTO THE TEENS POSSIBLE. BUT WITH THE PROXIMITY OF THE BURN SITE TO LAKE MICHIGAN...NORTHWESTERLY LAKE BREEZE COMPONENT MAY DEVELOP BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON BACKING WINDS MORE NORTHWEST. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT) THROUGH MIDDAY... THEN GRADUALLY BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) DURING THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........46 AT IGNITION...MAX 52. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...BACKING NORTHWEST AFTER 3PM. MAXIMUM GUSTS TO 16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 17 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3200-3700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (500) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (500). TIME (EDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........43 52 25 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............46 50 51 RH..............56 46 41 20 FT WIND......N 6 N 7 N 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 SMOKE DISP......500 400 400 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....30. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 2 TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........MIN 3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........20 0 0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............51 48 42 37 35 32 RH..............41 46 60 72 75 85 20 FT WIND......N 7 N 5 N 3 N 2 NE 1 N 1 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 5 5 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 4 SMOKE DISP......400 400 100 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...BRIAN ADAM REQUESTED BY...JOE RASPOTNIK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100418.NORTH.01/APX