FNUS73 KAPX 191318
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMP PUGSLEY...STATE OF MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
918 AM EDT MON APR 19 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON APRIL 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE WESTERN GREAT
LAKES TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...BRINGING A COUPLE DAY STRETCH OF
QUIET WEATHER. AFTERNOON MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DIP TO
AROUND 30 PERCENT AT THE BURN SITE. HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES AND
WINDS WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA.

LIGHT NORTH WINDS INITIALLY AT THE BURN SITE. BUT LAKE BREEZES OFF
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY MAY BACK INCREASE WINDS SLIGHTLY AND BACK WINDS
SLIGHTLY NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
                    TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 60.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3900-4100 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (200) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (300).

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........15     15     15
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............54     58     60
RH..............40     30     28
20 FT WIND......N 6    N 6    N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4
SMOKE DISP......200    300    300

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1600 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........MIN 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0).

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........5      6      6      6      6      6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     52     44     39     36     35
RH..............30     38     53     64     69     75
20 FT WIND......N 6    N 4    W 1    SW 0   W 1    N 0
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     5
HAINES INDEX....5      4      4      5      4      4
SMOKE DISP......200    100    0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...BRIAN ADAM
REQUESTED BY...RANDY MCKENZIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100419.CAMPP.01/APX