FNUS73 KAPX 191301
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH STAR...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
901 AM EDT MON APR 19 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON APRIL 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE WESTERN GREAT
LAKES TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...BRINGING A COUPLE DAY STRETCH OF
QUIET WEATHER. AFTERNOON MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DIP INTO THE
MIDDLE 20S TO AROUND 30 PERCENT RANGE. HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES AND
WINDS WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA.

LIGHT NORTH WINDS INITIALLY AT THE BURN SITE. HOWEVER...PROXIMITY
TO LAKE MICHIGAN WILL LIKELY TURN WINDS INTO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
1 PM AS LAKE BREEZES DEVELOP.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
                    TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 60.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO
                    8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2900-3500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (200) AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR (200).

TIME (EDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........0      5      5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............56     60     59
RH..............38     32     33
20 FT WIND......N 5    N 6    N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4
SMOKE DISP......200    200    200

$$
FORECASTER...BRIAN ADAM
REQUESTED BY...JOE RASPOTNIK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100419.NORTH.01/APX