FNUS73 KPAH 191333 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR TA 10...DOD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 833 AM CDT MON APR 19 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT...BUT WITH THE LACK OF MOISTURE...ONLY CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH SOME SPRINKLES CANNOT BE RULED OUT. CLOUDS WILL THICKEN THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND INTO THIS EVENING AND BY TUESDAY MORNING...THIS UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL BE POSITIONED DIRECTLY OVER THE AREA. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSLATE EASTWARD ACROSS WEST KENTUCKY ON TUESDAY. THICK CLOUD COVER WILL CONTINUE WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SPRINKLE ON TUESDAY. THE CLOUDS WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 65. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3700-5600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6000-6700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 0 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............57 60 61 63 64 64 64 62 RH..............45 42 41 38 37 37 37 38 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...5.6 6.1 6.4 6.7 6.6 6.0 4.3 2.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.E NE NE NE NE NE E SE TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 8 9 12 12 8 3 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....44. MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............61 55 51 49 47 46 RH..............39 55 66 71 76 76 20 FT WIND......N 4 N 3 N 3 N 3 N 2 N 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....500 BLW100 200 300 300 200 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....69. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500-7300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 0 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............46 58 65 68 RH..............76 51 37 32 20 FT WIND......N 2G5 N 4G5 N 5G10 N 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....400 2700 6200 7300 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 NE 9 N 10 N 12 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...WFOPADUCAH REQUESTED BY...DREW MICKOLAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100419.TA10_.01/PAH