FNUS75 KPUB 191143
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BOOGER RED...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
543 AM MDT MON APR 19 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON
WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE BURN SITE.  WINDS
WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN THIS AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTY
CONDITIONS.  OUTFLOW WINDS PRODUCED BY THUNDERSTORMS ARE ERRATIC
AND CAN BE QUITE STRONG HOWEVER THE PROBABILITY OF STRONG OUTFLOW
WINDS LOOKS TO BE SMALL AT THIS TIME.  ABUNDANT MOISTURE OVER THE
REGION WILL ALLOW ANY STORMS THAT MOVE ACROSS THE BURN SITE TO
PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AS THEY PASS.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH FOR TOMORROW WITH GUSTY NORTH TO
EASTERLY WINDS DURING THE LATE MORNING.  A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE COLD FRONT.

SMOKE DISPERSALS WILL BE POOR THIS MORNING WITH GOOD CONDITIONS
EXPECTED FOR THIS AFTERNOON.  POOR DISPERSALS CAN BE EXPECTED
-FOR TONIGHT BEFORE GOOD CONDITIONS SET UP AGAIN DURING THE
DAY TOMORROW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(55 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 15 MPH
                    THROUGH 1200 THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AT 8 TO
                    10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 20 MPH.  ANY OUTFLOW
                    THUNDERSTORM WINDS WILL VARIABLE WITH STRONGER
                    GUSTS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 14000 FT AGL AFTER
                    1100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(50 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37F.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT 3 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN NORTH
                    AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN SOUTHWEST UNTIL
                    0200...THEN NORTHWEST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(55 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH 4 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 15 MPH
                    BECOMING EAST AT 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    NEAR 22 MPH.  WIND WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL
                    BE VARIABLE WITH HIGHER WIND GUSTS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 11500 FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...TYLER WEBB
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100419.BOOGE.01/PUB