FNUS75 KABQ 211424
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR PA14 27 PILES...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
824 AM MDT WED APR 21 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL AFFECT THE BURN AREA THROUGH THE
NEXT 2 TO 3 DAYS. THE FREE AIR WIND FLOW WILL INCREASE OUT AHEAD
OF THE PACIFIC LOW TODAY. BASED ON THE LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE...IT
APPEARS THAT THE STRONGER WIND FLOW WONT OCCUR OVER THE FIRE AREA
UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY. REGARDLESS...LOOK FOR AN INCREASE IN WIND
AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. THE STRONGEST FREE AIR WINDS WILL BE OVER
THE FIRE AREA TONIGHT AND THEN SHIFT EASTWARD ON THURSDAY. THUS
SOME STRONGER GUSTS COULD OCCUR TONIGHT BUT THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
ALSO BE MORE STABLE THUS LIMITING THAT POTENTIAL. VARIABLE
CLOUD COVER WILL AFFECT THE BURN AREA ALTHOUGH CANT HOLD MY HAT
ON THE EXPECTATION OF WETTING RAIN. THERE IS A BETTER CHANCE OF
SOME MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION BUT LESS LIKELY FOR GREATER THAN
A TENTH OF AN INCH. MODELS ARE FAVORING THE NORTHERN AND
SOUTHWESTERN TIER OF THE STATE MORE...FOR WETTING RAIN.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT 4/21/10
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......INCREASING CLOUDS AND BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                       A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                       IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-64.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 28-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO
                       SOUTH/SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH IN THE
                       AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. GUSTY
                       AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE
                       OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).........SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO
                       11 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.

FOR THURSDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY TO OCCASIONALLY MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                       SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS...SOME WITH
                       THUNDER IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH INCREASING TO 12
                       TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 25
                       MPH LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                       THE AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...50

$$

REQUESTED BY...MARLA RODGERS
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100421.PA142.01/ABQ